NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over REYN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.
REYN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
REYN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
REYN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REYN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $23.30 | -4.9% |
| Forward | 15x | $24.50 | — |
| Current | 16x | $24.50 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $27.78 | +13% |
| Expensive | 22x | $34.23 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
REYN's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over REYN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
REYN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect REYN's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
REYN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.64 | +7.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.53 | +5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.63 | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.56 | -1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.43 | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.45 | -17% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.48 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.59 | +1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.67 | +18% |
REYN has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over REYN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
REYN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $944M | +1.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $944M | +0.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $877M | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $931M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $938M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $818M | -1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +1.4% |
REYN's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $944M last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.1% | -2.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.8% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -2.2 points |
REYN has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over REYN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
REYN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9M | -81% |
| Q2 2026 | $45M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $27M | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $200M | +42% |
| Q3 2025 | $48M | -48% |
| Q2 2025 | $51M | -22% |
| Q1 2025 | $17M | -76% |
| Q4 2024 | $141M | -27% |
REYN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $281M over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
REYN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +1.8M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +2M shares |
| Available history | +4.5% | +9.2M shares |
REYN has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
REYN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
REYN's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
REYN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.9 | Neutral |
REYN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REYN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | REYN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 11% below |
| PE % | 31 | 48 | 17 pts below |
REYN is trading at 16x earnings, a 11% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
REYN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.0 | 6.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $24.1 | 1.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $23.4 | 4.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.6 | 3.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $25.8 | 5% below |
REYN has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
REYN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.6 | $30.5 | +6.8% |
| 2021 | $30.5 | $30.3 | -0.6% |
| 2022 | $30.3 | $30.4 | +0.2% |
| 2023 | $30.4 | $26.8 | -12% |
| 2024 | $26.8 | $27.3 | +1.7% |
| 2025 | $27.3 | $23.3 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.3 | $24.5 | +5.2% |
REYN has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.