NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

REF

Reformation Inc. (California)

There isn't enough reported data to score REF yet.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

REF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable

There isn't enough reported data to rate REF's fundamentals.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

REF PE Valuation

REF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

REF Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for REF to show an outlook.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NIO and REF's risk to reward.

REF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $18.13 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NIO and REF's risk to reward.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

REF Earnings Per Share

REF and NIO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

REF Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $125MQ1 2026: $112MQ2 2026: $155MQ3 2026: $174M
Q1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $125MQ1 2026: $112MQ2 2026: $155MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$155.2M+24%
Q1 2026$112.3M+30%

REF has the edge over NIO in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

REF Free Cash Flow

Q1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $38M
Q1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$22M+$8.7M

REF and NIO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has the edge over REF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

REF Total Shares

Q1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 56M
Q1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 56M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.8%+3.1M shares
1 year+13%+6.2M shares

REF has 56M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

REF Net Leverage

REF's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

REF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic79.9Neutral

REF's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

REF PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

REF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

REF has stronger trend alignment. NIO is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus REF above 1 of 1.

REF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.021% above

REF is in an uptrend: it's above all one of its weekly moving averages, and 21% above its 8-week average.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

REF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$16.2$18.1+12%

REF has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key