NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RDNW

RideNow Group, Inc.

56
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

RDNW has a slight edge over NIO overall on the model score.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RDNW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

RDNW's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDNW PE Valuation

RDNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 50x next year's earnings.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over RDNW on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

RDNW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect RDNW to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NIO and RDNW's risk to reward.

RDNW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.70 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NIO and RDNW's risk to reward.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

RDNW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-12.15Q1 2024: $-11.40Q2 2024: $-10.59Q3 2024: $-9.93Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-3.02Q3 2025: $-2.81Q4 2025: $-1.38Q1 2026: $-1.23Q2 2026: $-0.22Q3 2026: $-0.47Forward: $0.09
Q4 2023: $-12.15Q1 2024: $-11.40Q2 2024: $-10.59Q3 2024: $-9.93Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-3.02Q3 2025: $-2.81Q4 2025: $-1.38Q1 2026: $-1.23Q2 2026: $-0.22Q3 2026: $-0.47Forward: $0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.09—
Q3 2026-$0.47+$2.34
Q2 2026-$0.22+$2.80
Q1 2026-$1.23+$0.96
Q4 2025-$1.38+$0.84
Q3 2025-$2.81+$7.12
Q2 2025-$3.02+$7.57
Q1 2025-$2.19+$9.21
Q4 2024-$2.22+$9.93

RDNW has the edge over NIO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over RDNW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDNW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $308MQ2 2024: $337MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $270MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $300MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $257MQ1 2026: $260MQ2 2026: $297MQ3 2026: $244M
Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $308MQ2 2024: $337MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $270MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $300MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $257MQ1 2026: $260MQ2 2026: $297MQ3 2026: $244M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$244.3M-13%
Q2 2026$296.8M-1%
Q1 2026$260.4M+6.4%
Q4 2025$256.9M-4.7%
Q3 2025$281M-4.7%
Q2 2025$299.9M-11%
Q1 2025$244.7M-21%
Q4 2024$269.6M-13%

RDNW's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $244M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over RDNW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDNW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$200,000Q1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$14M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$200,000Q1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$14.4M-253%
Q2 2026-$1.6M-119%
Q1 2026-$28.2M-$20.8M
Q4 2025-$200K-101%
Q3 2025$9.4M-76%
Q2 2025$8.5M-68%
Q1 2025-$7.4M-470%
Q4 2024$30.4M+$55.9M

RDNW has burned cash in most quarters: −$44M over the past year, against $41M the year before.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

RDNW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-3K shares
1 year+2.4%+901K shares
3 years+134%+22.3M shares
5 years+461%+32M shares
Available history+3394%+37.8M shares

RDNW has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RDNW Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 20.2xQ1 2026: 14.8xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 4.4x
Q4 2025: 20.2xQ1 2026: 14.8xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.4xHigh
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 202614.8xHigh
Q4 202520.2xHigh
Q3 20221.3xHealthy
Q2 20221.1xHealthy
Q1 20222.7xModerate
Q1 202196.2xHigh

RDNW's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RDNW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

RDNW's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDNW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRDNWSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

RDNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

RDNW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.2310% below
20 week MA$6.3526% below
50 week MA$4.358% above
100 week MA$4.494.7% above
200 week MA$7.2335% below

RDNW has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

RDNW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.7$30.2+70%
2021$30.2$39.7+31%
2022$39.7$6.45-84%
2023$6.45$8.14+26%
2024$8.14$5.48-33%
2025$5.48$5.30-3.3%
2026 YTD$5.30$4.70-11%

RDNW has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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