NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RACE
Ferrari N.V.
RACE has the edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RACE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
RACE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RACE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 38x | $394 | -2.8% |
| Current | 40x | $405 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $490 | +21% |
| Expensive | 55x | $567 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RACE's PE is 40x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
RACE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RACE, with profitability improving.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
RACE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $10.25 | +3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.00 | +2.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.95 | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.94 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.88 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.78 | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.39 | +22% |
| Q3 2024 | $8.82 | +22% |
RACE has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RACE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B | +8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1B | +3.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +14% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.8B | +6.5% |
RACE's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $2.1B last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 32% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 28% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 31% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 27% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 29% | +1 points |
RACE has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
RACE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $366.1M | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $812.8M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | +545% |
| Q3 2025 | $525.1M | -2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $173.2M | +229% |
| Q1 2025 | $692.2M | +101% |
| Q4 2024 | $242.1M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $540.3M | +64% |
RACE has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RACE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -891K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -2M shares |
| 3 years | -2.9% | -5.3M shares |
| 5 years | -4.6% | -8.6M shares |
| Available history | -5.8% | -10.9M shares |
RACE has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $231.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $251.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $872.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $147.1M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $470.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $167.2M |
| Q3 2024 | $163.1M |
RACE spent $1.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 88% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RACE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
RACE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
RACE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.3 | Neutral |
RACE's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RACE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RACE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 18x | 119% above |
| PE % | 21 | 47 | 26 pts below |
RACE is trading at 40x earnings, a 119% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
RACE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $399.8 | 1.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $400.3 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $372.0 | 9% above |
| 100 week MA | $412.7 | 1.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $388.6 | 4.3% above |
RACE has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
RACE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $168.7 | $225.5 | +34% |
| 2021 | $225.5 | $253.5 | +12% |
| 2022 | $253.5 | $211.0 | -17% |
| 2023 | $211.0 | $338.4 | +60% |
| 2024 | $338.4 | $432.2 | +28% |
| 2025 | $432.2 | $378.1 | -13% |
| 2026 YTD | $378.1 | $405.5 | +7.2% |
RACE has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.