NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over QCOM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

QCOM

QUALCOMM Incorporated

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

QCOM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QCOM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

QCOM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QCOM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$175-1.1%
Current14x$177—
Fair20x$248+40%
Expensive26x$333+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QCOM's PE is in its cheap range at 14x.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

QCOM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for QCOM to show an outlook.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QCOM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

QCOM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$224.30
Downside-41%$103.77

Calculated from the latest close: $177.14 on Nov 12.

QCOM trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

QCOM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.70+153%
Q2 2026$8.76-15%
Q1 2026$9.32-4.9%
Q4 2025$4.96-47%
Q3 2025$5.01-44%
Q2 2025$10.35+34%
Q1 2025$9.80+32%
Q4 2024$9.34+35%

QCOM has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over QCOM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.3B-8.4%
Q2 2026$9.9B-4%
Q1 2026$10.6B-3.5%
Q4 2025$12.3B+5%
Q3 2025$11.3B+10%
Q2 2025$10.4B+10%
Q1 2025$11B+17%
Q4 2024$11.7B+17%

QCOM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $10.3B last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over QCOM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B-49%
Q2 2026$495M-81%
Q1 2026$1.9B-18%
Q4 2025$4.4B+2.5%
Q3 2025$3.6B+50%
Q2 2025$2.6B-3.2%
Q1 2025$2.3B-31%
Q4 2024$4.3B+58%

QCOM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $8.7B over the past year, down 33% from the year before.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

QCOM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+4M shares
1 year-2.9%-32M shares
3 years-4.7%-53M shares
5 years-6.6%-76M shares
Available history-7.4%-86M shares

QCOM has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QCOM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

QCOM's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

QCOM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic40.2Neutral

QCOM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QCOM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQCOMSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %173518 pts below

QCOM is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

QCOM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$177.20% below
20 week MA$172.82.5% above
50 week MA$170.73.8% above
100 week MA$164.37.8% above
200 week MA$155.114% above

QCOM has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

QCOM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.8$148.8+68%
2021$148.8$182.7+23%
2022$182.7$110.8-39%
2023$110.8$144.6+30%
2024$144.6$157.2+8.7%
2025$157.2$174.8+11%
2026 YTD$174.8$177.1+1.3%

QCOM has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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