NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PTON
Peloton Interactive, Inc.
PTON has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PTON Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PTON's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PTON PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $5.53 | — |
| Current | 18x | $5.53 | — |
| Cheap | 39x | $11.63 | +110% |
| Fair | 178x | $53.35 | +865% |
| Expensive | 1,471x | $441 | +7883% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PTON's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over PTON on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
PTON Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect PTON's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
PTON Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.32 | +6.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.30 | +$0.57 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.14 | +$0.44 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.06 | +$0.50 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.12 | +$0.65 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.27 | +$0.80 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.30 | +$1.21 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.44 | +$1.66 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.77 | +$1.67 |
PTON has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over PTON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PTON Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $559.2M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $607.7M | +0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $630.9M | +1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $656.5M | -2.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $550.8M | -6% |
| Q2 2025 | $606.9M | -5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $624M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $673.9M | -9.4% |
PTON's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $559M last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +8.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2% | +4.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.5% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.9% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5.2% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.8% | +18 points |
PTON has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
PTON Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $143.4M | +113% |
| Q2 2026 | $88.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2026 | $150.5M | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $71M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $67.4M | +530% |
| Q2 2025 | $112.4M | +332% |
| Q1 2025 | $94.6M | +1000% |
| Q4 2024 | $106M | +$143.1M |
PTON has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has the edge over PTON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
PTON Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +20% | +89.2M shares |
| 1 year | +22% | +95.4M shares |
| 3 years | +47% | +167M shares |
| 5 years | +74% | +224M shares |
| Available history | +88% | +245M shares |
PTON has 525M diluted shares, up 22% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PTON Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3x | High |
| Q1 2021 | -8.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
PTON has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
PTON Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.7 | Neutral |
PTON's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PTON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PTON | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 2.3% above |
| PE % | 0 | 47 | 47 pts below |
PTON is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
PTON Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.23 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $5.47 | 1.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.39 | 2.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.38 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.45 | 14% below |
PTON has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
PTON Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.0 | $162.7 | +503% |
| 2021 | $162.7 | $38.6 | -76% |
| 2022 | $38.6 | $8.89 | -77% |
| 2023 | $8.89 | $6.09 | -31% |
| 2024 | $6.09 | $9.39 | +54% |
| 2025 | $9.39 | $6.06 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.06 | $5.53 | -8.7% |
PTON has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.