NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over PTLO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PTLO

Portillo's Inc.

48
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

PTLO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PTLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

PTLO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PTLO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$4.20-37%
Forward26x$6.68—
Fair27x$5.84-13%
Current30x$6.68—
Expensive64x$14.12+111%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PTLO's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over PTLO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

PTLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PTLO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PTLO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PTLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$8.58
Downside-36%$4.28

Calculated from the latest close: $6.68 on Nov 12.

PTLO trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

PTLO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.25
Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.25+16%
Q3 2026$0.22-39%
Q2 2026$0.18-60%
Q1 2026$0.21-51%
Q4 2025$0.27-41%
Q3 2025$0.36-16%
Q2 2025$0.45+15%
Q1 2025$0.43+4.9%
Q4 2024$0.46+44%

PTLO has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over PTLO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PTLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $185MQ1 2025: $176MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $185MQ1 2025: $176MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$194.1M+7%
Q2 2026$199M+5.6%
Q1 2026$182.6M+3.5%
Q4 2025$185.7M+0.6%
Q3 2025$181.4M+1.8%
Q2 2025$188.5M+3.6%
Q1 2025$176.4M+6.4%
Q4 2024$184.6M-1.7%

PTLO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $194M last quarter, up 7% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

PTLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$907,000Q2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$907,000Q2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.8M+$21.7M
Q2 2026$5.9M+13%
Q1 2026-$907K+$8.7M
Q4 2025-$9.2M-$3.6M
Q3 2025-$5M-164%
Q2 2025$5.2M-67%
Q1 2025-$9.6M-$1.7M
Q4 2024-$5.6M+$7.5M

PTLO's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $13M over the past year.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

PTLO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+262K shares
1 year-0.7%-541K shares
3 years+25%+14.7M shares
5 years+119%+39.9M shares

PTLO has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PTLO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

PTLO's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PTLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.8Neutral
Stochastic85.6Overbought

PTLO's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PTLO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPTLOSector medianRelative
PE30x18x68% above
PE %59563 pts above

PTLO is trading at 30x earnings, a 68% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

PTLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7640% above
20 week MA$4.6444% above
50 week MA$4.9335% above
100 week MA$7.399.6% below
200 week MA$11.542% below

PTLO has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

PTLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$37.4$38.3+2.4%
2022$38.3$17.2-55%
2023$17.2$15.9-7.3%
2024$15.9$8.98-44%
2025$8.98$4.71-48%
2026 YTD$4.71$6.68+42%

PTLO has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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