NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over PHM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

PHM

PulteGroup, Inc.

39
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PHM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PHM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Stable
Strong

PHM's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PHM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$54.71-57%
Fair8.8x$82.04-35%
Expensive11x$99.83-21%
Current14x$127—
Forward14x$127—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHM's PE is in its expensive range at 13.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13.7x.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over PHM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PHM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PHM's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PHM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PHM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$145.68
Downside-32%$86.44

Calculated from the latest close: $126.90 on Nov 12.

PHM trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

PHM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.72Q1 2024: $12.47Q2 2024: $13.09Q3 2024: $13.54Q4 2024: $14.69Q1 2025: $14.16Q2 2025: $13.36Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $11.12Q1 2026: $10.34Q2 2026: $9.79Q3 2026: $9.36Forward: $9.29
Q4 2023: $11.72Q1 2024: $12.47Q2 2024: $13.09Q3 2024: $13.54Q4 2024: $14.69Q1 2025: $14.16Q2 2025: $13.36Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $11.12Q1 2026: $10.34Q2 2026: $9.79Q3 2026: $9.36Forward: $9.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.29-0.7%
Q3 2026$9.36-28%
Q2 2026$9.79-27%
Q1 2026$10.34-27%
Q4 2025$11.12-24%
Q3 2025$12.97-4.2%
Q2 2025$13.36+2.1%
Q1 2025$14.16+14%
Q4 2024$14.69+25%

PHM has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over PHM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.5BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $4.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.5BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $4.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B-9.8%
Q2 2026$4B-9.6%
Q1 2026$3.4B-12%
Q4 2025$4.6B-6.3%
Q3 2025$4.4B-1.6%
Q2 2025$4.4B-4.3%
Q1 2025$3.9B-1.4%
Q4 2024$4.9B+15%

PHM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $4B last quarter, down 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

PHM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $543MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $253MQ3 2025: $651MQ4 2025: $740MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: −$13MQ3 2026: $437M
Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $543MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $253MQ3 2025: $651MQ4 2025: $740MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: −$13MQ3 2026: $437M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$437.2M-33%
Q2 2026-$12.9M-105%
Q1 2026$134.4M+28%
Q4 2025$739.8M+36%
Q3 2025$651.1M+56%
Q2 2025$253M-35%
Q1 2025$104.6M-51%
Q4 2024$543.1M+106%

PHM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $1.3B over the past year.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

PHM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 221MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 211MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 204MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 200MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 188M
Q4 2023: 221MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 211MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 204MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 200MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 188M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-2.7M shares
1 year-5.2%-10.3M shares
3 years-14%-31.8M shares
5 years-27%-71.1M shares
Available history-31%-83.6M shares

PHM has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PHM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

PHM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PHM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.2Neutral
Stochastic66.1Neutral

PHM's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PHM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPHMSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %994752 pts above

PHM is trading at 14x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

PHM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$120.85% above
20 week MA$124.32.1% above
50 week MA$124.42% above
100 week MA$118.86.8% above
200 week MA$107.718% above

PHM has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

PHM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.8$45.2+17%
2021$45.2$54.7+21%
2022$54.7$45.8-16%
2023$45.8$103.2+125%
2024$103.2$109.5+6.1%
2025$109.5$119.2+8.8%
2026 YTD$119.2$126.9+6.5%

PHM has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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