NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PHIN

PHINIA Inc.

73
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PHIN has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PHIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

PHIN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PHIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$72.51—
Current15x$72.51—
Cheap19x$92.38+27%
Fair22x$110+52%
Expensive25x$121+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHIN's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

PHIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PHIN, with profitability improving.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails PHIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PHIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$102.00
Downside-13%$63.39

Calculated from the latest close: $72.51 on Nov 12.

PHIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

PHIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $2.60Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.95Forward: $6.94
Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $2.60Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.95Forward: $6.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.94+40%
Q3 2026$4.95+122%
Q2 2026$3.48+34%
Q1 2026$3.57+102%
Q4 2025$3.24+84%
Q3 2025$2.23-4.3%
Q2 2025$2.60+39%
Q1 2025$1.77-23%
Q4 2024$1.76-15%

PHIN has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over PHIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $882MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $868MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $833MQ1 2025: $796MQ2 2025: $890MQ3 2025: $908MQ4 2025: $889MQ1 2026: $878MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $912M
Q4 2023: $882MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $868MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $833MQ1 2025: $796MQ2 2025: $890MQ3 2025: $908MQ4 2025: $889MQ1 2026: $878MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $912M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$912M+0.4%
Q2 2026$940M+5.6%
Q1 2026$878M+10%
Q4 2025$889M+6.7%
Q3 2025$908M+8.2%
Q2 2025$890M+2.5%
Q1 2025$796M-7.8%
Q4 2024$833M-5.6%

PHIN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $912M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

PHIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$70M-25%
Q2 2026$69M+200%
Q1 2026$21M+320%
Q4 2025$67M+26%
Q3 2025$93M+33%
Q2 2025$23M-75%
Q1 2025$5M+$17M
Q4 2024$53M+83%

PHIN has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

PHIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-900K shares
1 year-6.3%-2.5M shares
3 years-21%-10M shares

PHIN has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PHIN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

PHIN's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PHIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.2Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

PHIN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PHIN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPHINSector medianRelative
PE15x18x19% below
PE %13534 pts below

PHIN is trading at 15x earnings, a 19% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

PHIN has stronger trend alignment. NIO is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus PHIN above 4 of 4.

PHIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.416% above
20 week MA$68.65.6% above
50 week MA$70.23.3% above
100 week MA$59.622% above

PHIN is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 100-week average.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

PHIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$31.5$30.3-3.8%
2024$30.3$48.2+59%
2025$48.2$61.4+27%
2026 YTD$61.4$72.5+18%

PHIN has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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