NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ONDS

Ondas Holdings Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

ONDS has a slight edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ONDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONDS PE Valuation

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over ONDS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

ONDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails ONDS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$9.67
Downside-44%$2.99

Calculated from the latest close: $5.32 on Nov 12.

ONDS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

ONDS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.32
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.51
Q1 2026$0.09+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.62-$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.41+$0.31
Q2 2025-$0.53+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.59+$0.16
Q4 2024-$0.61+$0.27

ONDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2023.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

ONDS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$167.5M+1559%
Q2 2026$83.8M+1235%
Q1 2026$50.1M+1080%
Q4 2025$30.1M+629%
Q3 2025$10.1M+582%
Q2 2025$6.3M+555%
Q1 2025$4.2M+580%
Q4 2024$4.1M-17%

ONDS has the edge over NIO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over ONDS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONDS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$150.8M-$139.6M
Q2 2026-$93.8M-$85.3M
Q1 2026-$52.6M-$45.8M
Q4 2025-$14.3M-$6.2M
Q3 2025-$11.1M-$2.7M
Q2 2025-$8.5M+$1.4M
Q1 2025-$6.8M+$1.8M
Q4 2024-$8.1M-$2.1M

ONDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONDS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+114M shares
1 year+489%+513M shares
3 years+1363%+576M shares
5 years+2983%+598M shares

ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ONDS Net Leverage

ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ONDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONDS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricONDSSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

ONDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.3516% below
20 week MA$7.2326% below
50 week MA$8.9240% below
100 week MA$6.0812% below
200 week MA$3.5749% above

ONDS has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

ONDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$18.0$18.00%
2020$18.0$7.65-57%
2021$7.65$7.16-6.4%
2022$7.16$1.69-76%
2023$1.69$1.53-9.5%
2024$1.53$2.59+69%
2025$2.59$8.48+227%
2026 YTD$8.48$5.32-37%

ONDS has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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