NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over OI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
OI
O-I Glass, Inc.
OI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
OI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
OI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OI PE Valuation
OI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over OI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
OI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect OI's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over OI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.51 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$7.79 | -$6.87 |
| Q2 2026 | -$7.52 | -$5.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.22 | +$0.02 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.84 | -$0.15 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.92 | +$1.76 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.63 | +$0.21 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.69 | -$0.02 |
OI lost $7.79 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over OI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | -1.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B | -1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | -1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | -1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | -6.8% |
OI's revenue has held roughly level: $1.6B last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | -50 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.4% | -4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -48% | -40 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.4% | -5.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1% | -6.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -8.2% | +19 points |
OI has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
OI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84M | -26% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1M | -102% |
| Q1 2026 | -$436M | -$130M |
| Q4 2025 | $309M | +47% |
| Q3 2025 | $114M | +107% |
| Q2 2025 | $51M | -43% |
| Q1 2025 | -$306M | +$177M |
| Q4 2024 | $210M | +33% |
OI's free cash flow was −$44M over the past year, against $69M the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
OI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +314K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -3.4% | -5.5M shares |
| 5 years | -4.2% | -6.7M shares |
| Available history | -0.9% | -1.4M shares |
OI has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $10M |
| Q4 2025 | $10M |
| Q3 2025 | $10M |
| Q2 2025 | $10M |
| Q1 2025 | $10M |
| Q4 2024 | $10M |
OI spent $20M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 50% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
OI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 10.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 14.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 11.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 8.1x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 20.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 12.6x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 11.2x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 7.3x | High |
OI's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
OI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.8 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.3 | Oversold |
OI's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | OI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
OI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
OI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.63 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.90 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.0 | 51% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.3 | 57% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.9 | 65% below |
OI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO has the edge over OI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
OI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.9 | $11.5 | -3.3% |
| 2021 | $11.5 | $11.5 | +0.3% |
| 2022 | $11.5 | $16.9 | +46% |
| 2023 | $16.9 | $16.4 | -2.9% |
| 2024 | $16.4 | $10.3 | -37% |
| 2025 | $10.3 | $14.9 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.9 | $4.88 | -67% |
OI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.