NHI

National Health Investors, Inc.

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

NHI's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 4.5x earnings, less than half its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.

NHI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

NHI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like NHI.

NHI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.5x$64.55—
Cheap17x$240+271%
Forward21x$64.55—
Fair23x$325+403%
Expensive28x$397+515%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NHI's PE is in its cheap range at 4.5x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 21x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NHI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Stable
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect NHI's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NHI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$75.62
Downside-15%$54.99

Calculated from the latest close: $64.55 on Nov 12.

NHI's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +17% against −15%.

NHI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.13Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $2.94Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $3.13Q1 2025: $3.16Q2 2025: $3.14Q3 2025: $3.18Q4 2025: $3.02Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.46Q3 2026: $14.24Forward: $3.10
Q4 2023: $3.13Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $2.94Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $3.13Q1 2025: $3.16Q2 2025: $3.14Q3 2025: $3.18Q4 2025: $3.02Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.46Q3 2026: $14.24Forward: $3.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.10-78%
Q3 2026$14.24+348%
Q2 2026$3.46+10%
Q1 2026$3.10-1.9%
Q4 2025$3.02-3.5%
Q3 2025$3.18+9.3%
Q2 2025$3.14+6.8%
Q1 2025$3.16+3.6%
Q4 2024$3.130%

NHI's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $14.24 over the past year, up from $3.18 the year before.

NHI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $79MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $121MQ3 2026: $113M
Q4 2023: $79MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $121MQ3 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$113.5M+26%
Q2 2026$121.3M+34%
Q1 2026$115.1M+29%
Q4 2025$105.8M+23%
Q3 2025$89.8M+8.3%
Q2 2025$90.7M+6.7%
Q1 2025$89.3M+9.5%
Q4 2024$85.8M+7.9%

NHI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $113M last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

NHI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $49MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$129MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $48M
Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $49MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$129MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$65M+8.6%
Q1 2026-$56M-220%
Q2 2025$59.8M-1.5%
Q1 2025$46.5M+14%
Q3 2024$48.6M-2.2%
Q2 2024$60.7M+20%
Q1 2024$40.8M+31%
Q4 2023$53.2M+15%

NHI's free cash flow was −$72M over the past year, against $216M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like NHI.

NHI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+544K shares
1 year+3%+1.4M shares
3 years+13%+5.7M shares
5 years+7%+3.2M shares
Available history+11%+4.7M shares

NHI has 49M diluted shares, up 3% from a year ago.

NHI Net Leverage

NHI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.3Neutral
Stochastic28.5Neutral

NHI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

NHI PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricNHISector medianRelative
PE4.5x24x81% below
PE %02323 pts below

NHI is trading at 4.5x earnings, a 81% discount to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

NHI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.73.2% below
20 week MA$71.39.5% below
50 week MA$76.215% below
100 week MA$74.814% below
200 week MA$67.84.8% below

NHI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 4.8% below its 200-week average.

NHI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$82.4$69.7-15%
2021$69.7$56.0-20%
2022$56.0$54.1-3.4%
2023$54.1$55.9+3.3%
2024$55.9$68.8+23%
2025$68.8$77.1+12%
2026 YTD$77.1$64.6-16%

NHI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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