NHC

National HealthCare Corporation

54
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

NHC's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 29x earnings, above its usual 22x.

NHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

NHC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

NHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x55x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x55x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$88.68-58%
Fair22x$156-26%
Current29x$211—
Expensive33x$242+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NHC's PE is in its expensive range at 29x.

NHC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NHC to show an outlook.

NHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$242.71
Downside-28%$152.72

Calculated from the latest close: $210.78 on Nov 12.

NHC's one-year downside scenario is about twice its upside: −28% against +15%.

NHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.34Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.94Q3 2024: $7.99Q4 2024: $6.53Q1 2025: $6.91Q2 2025: $6.70Q3 2025: $6.47Q4 2025: $7.67Q1 2026: $7.87Q2 2026: $8.89Q3 2026: $7.24
Q4 2023: $4.34Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.94Q3 2024: $7.99Q4 2024: $6.53Q1 2025: $6.91Q2 2025: $6.70Q3 2025: $6.47Q4 2025: $7.67Q1 2026: $7.87Q2 2026: $8.89Q3 2026: $7.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$7.24+12%
Q2 2026$8.89+33%
Q1 2026$7.87+14%
Q4 2025$7.67+17%
Q3 2025$6.47-19%
Q2 2025$6.70+13%
Q1 2025$6.91+31%
Q4 2024$6.53+50%

NHC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $7.24 over the past year, against $10.82 in mid-2021.

NHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $301MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $340MQ4 2024: $369MQ1 2025: $374MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $383MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: $408MQ3 2026: $408M
Q4 2023: $301MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $340MQ4 2024: $369MQ1 2025: $374MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $383MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: $408MQ3 2026: $408M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$408M+6.6%
Q2 2026$408M+8.8%
Q1 2026$381.8M+2.2%
Q4 2025$386.5M+4.6%
Q3 2025$382.7M+12%
Q2 2025$374.9M+25%
Q1 2025$373.7M+26%
Q4 2024$369.4M+23%

NHC's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $408M last quarter, up 6.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $99M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99.2M+76%
Q2 2026$30.7M-42%
Q1 2026$52.9M+60%
Q4 2025$6.4M+38%
Q3 2025$56.5M+98%
Q2 2025$52.6M+23%
Q1 2025$33.1M+797%
Q4 2024$4.6M-73%

NHC generated $189M in free cash flow over the past year, up 29% from the year before.

NHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+101K shares
1 year+1.9%+300K shares
3 years+4.2%+640K shares
5 years+3.9%+601K shares
Available history+3.9%+605K shares

NHC has 16M diluted shares, up 1.9% from a year ago.

NHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

NHC's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

NHC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

NHC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNHCSector medianRelative
PE29x26x13% above
PE %732944 pts above

NHC is trading at 29x earnings, a 13% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$223.35.6% below
20 week MA$222.85.4% below
50 week MA$188.112% above
100 week MA$147.343% above
200 week MA$117.579% above

NHC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 79% above its 200-week average.

NHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.0$66.3-22%
2021$66.3$67.7+2.2%
2022$67.7$61.8-8.8%
2023$61.8$92.4+50%
2024$92.4$109.6+19%
2025$109.6$138.7+27%
2026 YTD$138.7$210.8+52%

NHC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 52% so far in 2026.

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