NGVC

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

NGVC's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 10%, but free cash flow fell 34%. At 14x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 16x.

NGVC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NGVC's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NGVC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$28.09-3.8%
Current14x$29.19—
Fair16x$32.02+9.7%
Expensive22x$44.48+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NGVC's PE is in its cheap range at 14x.

NGVC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NGVC to show an outlook.

NGVC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$38.60
Downside-24%$22.22

Calculated from the latest close: $29.19 on Nov 12.

NGVC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +32% against −24%.

NGVC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.02Q4 2023: $1.17Q1 2024: $1.26Q2 2024: $1.35Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $1.87Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $2.06Q1 2026: $2.08Q2 2026: $2.06
Q3 2023: $1.02Q4 2023: $1.17Q1 2024: $1.26Q2 2024: $1.35Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $1.87Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $2.06Q1 2026: $2.08Q2 2026: $2.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.06+10%
Q1 2026$2.08+18%
Q4 2025$2.06+32%
Q3 2025$2.00+36%
Q2 2025$1.87+39%
Q1 2025$1.77+40%
Q4 2024$1.56+33%
Q3 2024$1.47+44%

NGVC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.06 over the past year, up 10% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

NGVC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $295MQ4 2023: $302MQ1 2024: $308MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $336MQ2 2025: $329MQ3 2025: $336MQ4 2025: $336MQ1 2026: $337MQ2 2026: $335M
Q3 2023: $295MQ4 2023: $302MQ1 2024: $308MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $336MQ2 2025: $329MQ3 2025: $336MQ4 2025: $336MQ1 2026: $337MQ2 2026: $335M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$334.7M+1.8%
Q1 2026$337.4M+0.5%
Q4 2025$335.6M+1.6%
Q3 2025$336.1M+4.2%
Q2 2025$328.7M+6.3%
Q1 2025$335.8M+9%
Q4 2024$330.2M+9.4%
Q3 2024$322.7M+9.3%

NGVC's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $335M last quarter, up 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NGVC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $15MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $1M
Q3 2023: $15MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.3M+$5.4M
Q1 2026$2.3M-92%
Q4 2025$11.6M+$18.5M
Q3 2025$7.6M-58%
Q2 2025-$4.2M-215%
Q1 2025$27.6M+183%
Q4 2024-$6.9M-242%
Q3 2024$18M+19%

NGVC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $23M over the past year.

NGVC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 23MQ4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23M
Q3 2023: 23MQ4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+48.3K shares
1 year-0.2%-48.5K shares
3 years+1.6%+375K shares
5 years+2.4%+552K shares
Available history+3.1%+709K shares

NGVC has 23M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NGVC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2x
Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20240.0xVery low
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash

NGVC has more cash than debt.

NGVC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic39.4Neutral

NGVC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

NGVC PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricNGVCSector medianRelative
PE14x19x27% below
PE %24186 pts above

NGVC is trading at 14x earnings, a 27% discount to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

NGVC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.82.1% below
20 week MA$29.92.4% below
50 week MA$28.23.4% above
100 week MA$34.616% below
200 week MA$26.211% above

NGVC's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 200-week average.

NGVC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$13.3+32%
2021$13.3$14.3+7.4%
2022$14.3$9.08-36%
2023$9.08$16.0+76%
2024$16.0$39.3+146%
2025$39.3$25.8-34%
2026 YTD$25.8$29.2+13%

NGVC has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

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