NGS

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.

65
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

NGS's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 18x earnings, below its usual 23x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

NGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

NGS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$29.11—
Current18x$29.11—
Cheap19x$29.66+1.9%
Fair23x$36.29+25%
Expensive68x$108+271%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NGS's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

NGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NGS, with profitability improving.

NGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$43.55
Downside-17%$24.22

Calculated from the latest close: $29.11 on Nov 12.

NGS's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +50% against −17%.

NGS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.76Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.37Q1 2025: $1.34Q2 2025: $1.41Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $1.61Q3 2026: $1.58Forward: $2.41
Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.76Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.37Q1 2025: $1.34Q2 2025: $1.41Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $1.61Q3 2026: $1.58Forward: $2.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.41+52%
Q3 2026$1.58+7.5%
Q2 2026$1.61+14%
Q1 2026$1.72+28%
Q4 2025$1.57+15%
Q3 2025$1.47+15%
Q2 2025$1.41+33%
Q1 2025$1.34+76%
Q4 2024$1.37+261%

NGS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.58 over the past year, up 7.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.

NGS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$61.3M+41%
Q2 2026$51.4M+24%
Q1 2026$48.5M+17%
Q4 2025$46.1M+14%
Q3 2025$43.4M+6.7%
Q2 2025$41.4M+7.5%
Q1 2025$41.4M+12%
Q4 2024$40.7M+12%

NGS's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $61M last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.

NGS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: −$21MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: −$9M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: −$21MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: −$9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.2M+$15.9M
Q2 2026$6.6M+$21.5M
Q1 2026$7.8M+287%
Q4 2025-$20.7M-$15.6M
Q3 2025-$25.1M-$21.9M
Q2 2025-$14.8M-281%
Q1 2025$2M+$7.3M
Q4 2024-$5.1M+$27.9M

NGS has burned cash in most quarters: −$15M over the past year, against −$43M the year before.

NGS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+201K shares
1 year+2.8%+358K shares
3 years+5.2%+640K shares
5 years-0.6%-78K shares
Available history-0.5%-71K shares

NGS has 13M diluted shares, up 2.8% from a year ago.

NGS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 5.2xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 6.2xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 8.1xQ3 2026: 7.7x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 5.2xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 6.2xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 8.1xQ3 2026: 7.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.7xHigh
Q2 20268.1xHigh
Q1 20265.7xHigh
Q4 20256.2xHigh
Q3 20255.8xHigh
Q2 20255.3xHigh
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20245.2xHigh

NGS's net debt is about 7.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.8 years a year ago.

NGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.9Neutral
Stochastic20.2Neutral

NGS's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

NGS PE vs Energy Sector

MetricNGSSector medianRelative
PE18x13x40% above
PE %136148 pts below

NGS is trading at 18x earnings, a 40% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

NGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.36.9% below
20 week MA$34.816% below
50 week MA$36.620% below
100 week MA$30.95.8% below
200 week MA$23.424% above

NGS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 24% above its 200-week average.

NGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.0$10.2-15%
2021$10.2$10.6+3.9%
2022$10.6$11.1+4.6%
2023$11.1$16.1+45%
2024$16.1$25.5+58%
2025$25.5$33.4+31%
2026 YTD$33.4$29.1-13%

NGS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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