NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over ZG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ZG

Zillow Group, Inc. Class A

47
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

ZG's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ZG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ZG's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

ZG PE Valuation

ZG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over ZG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ZG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ZG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ZG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$40.43
Downside-27%$21.12

Calculated from the latest close: $29.11 on Nov 12.

ZG trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over ZG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ZG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $-0.61Q3 2024: $-0.57Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $2.11
Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $-0.61Q3 2024: $-0.57Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.15Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $2.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.11—
Q3 2026-$0.52-$0.37
Q2 2026$0.22+$0.49
Q1 2026$0.25+$0.60
Q4 2025$0.09+$0.57
Q3 2025-$0.15+$0.42
Q2 2025-$0.27+$0.34
Q1 2025-$0.35+$0.34
Q4 2024-$0.48+$0.20

ZG is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.52 per share over the past year, against $2.26 at its worst in mid-2022.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $12.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $529MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $581MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $598MQ2 2025: $655MQ3 2025: $676MQ4 2025: $654MQ1 2026: $708MQ2 2026: $772MQ3 2026: $724M
Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $529MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $581MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $598MQ2 2025: $655MQ3 2025: $676MQ4 2025: $654MQ1 2026: $708MQ2 2026: $772MQ3 2026: $724M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$724M+7.1%
Q2 2026$772M+18%
Q1 2026$708M+18%
Q4 2025$654M+18%
Q3 2025$676M+16%
Q2 2025$655M+15%
Q1 2025$598M+13%
Q4 2024$554M+17%

ZG has the edge over NFLX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

ZG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$128M+75%
Q2 2026-$25M-150%
Q1 2026$166M+144%
Q4 2025$44M-50%
Q3 2025$73M-47%
Q2 2025$50M+178%
Q1 2025$68M+66%
Q4 2024$88M+69%

ZG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $313M over the past year.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has 4.2B diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $12.9B in buybacks over the past year.

ZG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 235MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 234MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 252MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 240MQ2 2026: 228MQ3 2026: 225M
Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 235MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 233MQ4 2024: 234MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 252MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 240MQ2 2026: 228MQ3 2026: 225M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-2.6M shares
1 year-12%-30.9M shares
3 years-3.4%-8M shares
5 years-11%-28.8M shares
Available history+9.2%+18.9M shares

ZG has the edge over NFLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZG Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -21.8xQ1 2025: -8.4xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -3.6xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2024: -21.8xQ1 2025: -8.4xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -3.6xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-21.8xNet Cash

ZG has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

ZG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic28.6Neutral

ZG's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX has the edge over ZG on valuation relative to its sector.

ZG PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricZGSector medianRelative
PE127x16x673% above
PE %19267 pts below

ZG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

ZG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.64.8% below
20 week MA$32.510% below
50 week MA$42.531% below
100 week MA$57.649% below
200 week MA$53.546% below

ZG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX has the edge over ZG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ZG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.8$143.9+214%
2021$143.9$62.3-57%
2022$62.3$32.1-48%
2023$32.1$56.7+77%
2024$56.7$72.7+28%
2025$72.7$69.6-4.3%
2026 YTD$69.6$29.1-58%

ZG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +214% in 2020 to −57% in 2021. It's down 58% so far in 2026.

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