NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over WLY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

WLY

John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

66
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

WLY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

WLY's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over WLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x123x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x123x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current13x$49.44—
Cheap14x$53.29+7.8%
Fair20x$75.29+52%
Expensive26x$95.37+93%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WLY's PE is in its cheap range at 13x.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

WLY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WLY to show an outlook.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WLY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$62.10
Downside-25%$36.98

Calculated from the latest close: $49.44 on Nov 12.

WLY trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.46 over the past year, up 45% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

WLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-2.86Q2 2024: $-3.65Q3 2024: $-2.01Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $0.73Q2 2025: $1.53Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $1.88Q1 2026: $2.87Q2 2026: $4.16Q3 2026: $3.71
Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-2.86Q2 2024: $-3.65Q3 2024: $-2.01Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $0.73Q2 2025: $1.53Q3 2025: $1.78Q4 2025: $1.88Q1 2026: $2.87Q2 2026: $4.16Q3 2026: $3.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.71+108%
Q2 2026$4.16+172%
Q1 2026$2.87+293%
Q4 2025$1.88+$2.80
Q3 2025$1.78+$3.79
Q2 2025$1.53+$5.18
Q1 2025$0.73+$3.59
Q4 2024-$0.92+$1.15

WLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.71 over the past year, up 108% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over WLY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $493MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $468MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $443MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $422MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $448MQ3 2026: $386M
Q4 2023: $493MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $468MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $443MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $422MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $448MQ3 2026: $386M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$386.4M-2.6%
Q2 2026$447.9M+1.2%
Q1 2026$410M+1.3%
Q4 2025$421.8M-1.1%
Q3 2025$396.8M-1.7%
Q2 2025$442.6M-5.5%
Q1 2025$404.6M-12%
Q4 2024$426.6M-13%

WLY's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $386M last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

WLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: −$103MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: −$66M
Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: −$103MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $133MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: −$66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$66.5M+$30.5M
Q2 2026$144M+9.8%
Q1 2026$167M+26%
Q4 2025-$4.6M+$15.2M
Q3 2025-$97M+$6.2M
Q2 2025$131.2M-20%
Q1 2025$132.9M+46%
Q4 2024-$19.8M+$1.6M

WLY has the edge over NFLX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has 4.2B diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $12.9B in buybacks over the past year.

WLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.7%-2.5M shares
1 year-6%-3.2M shares
3 years-8.2%-4.5M shares
5 years-10%-5.8M shares
Available history-10%-5.9M shares

WLY has the edge over NFLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over WLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20243.1xElevated

WLY's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.0 years a year ago.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

WLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.6Neutral
Stochastic43.6Neutral

WLY's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

WLY PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricWLYSector medianRelative
PE13x16x19% below
PE %92617 pts below

WLY has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

WLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.31.7% below
20 week MA$50.52.1% below
50 week MA$42.217% above
100 week MA$41.519% above
200 week MA$40.323% above

WLY has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

WLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.4$45.3-6.6%
2021$45.3$55.4+22%
2022$55.4$39.4-29%
2023$39.4$31.7-19%
2024$31.7$44.5+40%
2025$44.5$31.1-30%
2026 YTD$31.1$49.4+59%

WLY has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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