NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over WB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WB

Weibo Corporation

49
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

WB trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

WB's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over WB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x79x105x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x79x105x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.1x$6.12—
Cheap5.7x$6.83+12%
Fair14x$16.28+166%
Expensive35x$41.18+573%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WB's PE is in its cheap range at 5.1x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over WB on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

WB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect WB's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$7.99
Downside-27%$4.47

Calculated from the latest close: $6.12 on Nov 12.

WB trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over WB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.67Q4 2024: $1.14Q1 2025: $1.35Q2 2025: $1.40Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.41Q2 2026: $1.19
Q3 2023: $1.67Q4 2024: $1.14Q1 2025: $1.35Q2 2025: $1.40Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.41Q2 2026: $1.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.19-15%
Q1 2026$1.41+4.4%
Q4 2025$1.67+46%
Q3 2023$1.67+596%
Q2 2023$1.28+17%
Q1 2023$1.06-20%
Q4 2022$0.33-82%
Q3 2022$0.24-84%

WB's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.19 over the past year, against $2.49 in late 2019. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over WB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $442MQ4 2023: $464MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $464MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $397MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $443MQ4 2025: $475MQ1 2026: $421MQ2 2026: $455M
Q3 2023: $442MQ4 2023: $464MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $464MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $397MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $443MQ4 2025: $475MQ1 2026: $421MQ2 2026: $455M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$454.6M+2.2%
Q1 2026$421.3M+6.2%
Q4 2025$475.3M+4%
Q3 2025$442.9M-4.6%
Q2 2025$444.8M+1.6%
Q1 2025$396.9M+0.3%
Q4 2024$456.8M-1.5%
Q3 2024$464.5M+5.1%

WB's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $455M last quarter, up 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over WB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $211MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $211MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0$0

WB's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over WB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 239MQ1 2024: 264MQ2 2024: 265MQ3 2024: 266MQ4 2024: 238MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 268MQ3 2025: 269MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 270MQ2 2026: 272M
Q3 2023: 239MQ1 2024: 264MQ2 2024: 265MQ3 2024: 266MQ4 2024: 238MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 268MQ3 2025: 269MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 270MQ2 2026: 272M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+1.4M shares
1 year+1.2%+3.2M shares
3 years+15%+34.7M shares
5 years+18%+42.2M shares
Available history+16%+38.4M shares

WB has 272M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

WB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4x
Q3 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20240.0xVery low
Q3 20241.2xHealthy

WB's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

WB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.5Neutral
Stochastic8.8Oversold

WB's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

WB PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricWBSector medianRelative
PE5.1x16x69% below
PE %62620 pts below

WB has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

WB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.363.8% below
20 week MA$6.9612% below
50 week MA$8.3126% below
100 week MA$9.2134% below
200 week MA$10.542% below

WB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX has the edge over WB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.1$44.3-5.9%
2021$44.3$29.8-33%
2022$29.8$17.9-40%
2023$17.9$11.0-39%
2024$11.0$9.78-11%
2025$9.78$10.1+3.7%
2026 YTD$10.1$6.12-40%

WB has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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