NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over TTWO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TTWO

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.

62
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

TTWO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TTWO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

TTWO's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

TTWO PE Valuation

TTWO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

TTWO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TTWO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TTWO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TTWO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$294.40
Downside-21%$179.59

Calculated from the latest close: $226.95 on Nov 12.

TTWO trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over TTWO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TTWO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-8.78Q1 2024: $-22.01Q2 2024: $-22.31Q3 2024: $-21.19Q4 2024: $-21.36Q1 2025: $-25.58Q2 2025: $-24.13Q3 2025: $-22.78Q4 2025: $-22.57Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $-1.73Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $9.45
Q4 2023: $-8.78Q1 2024: $-22.01Q2 2024: $-22.31Q3 2024: $-21.19Q4 2024: $-21.36Q1 2025: $-25.58Q2 2025: $-24.13Q3 2025: $-22.78Q4 2025: $-22.57Q1 2026: $-1.62Q2 2026: $-1.73Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $9.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.45—
Q3 2026-$1.29+$21.49
Q2 2026-$1.73+$22.40
Q1 2026-$1.62+$23.96
Q4 2025-$22.57-$1.21
Q3 2025-$22.78-$1.59
Q2 2025-$24.13-$1.82
Q1 2025-$25.58-$3.57
Q4 2024-$21.36-$12.58

TTWO is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.29 per share over the past year, against $25.58 at its worst in early 2025.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over TTWO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTWO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-16%
Q2 2026$1.5B+2%
Q1 2026$1.7B+6.1%
Q4 2025$1.7B+25%
Q3 2025$1.8B+31%
Q2 2025$1.5B+12%
Q1 2025$1.6B+13%
Q4 2024$1.4B-0.5%

TTWO's revenue fell from its 2025 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.5B last quarter, down 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over TTWO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTWO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: −$226MQ3 2024: −$165MQ4 2024: −$48MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: −$70MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: $199MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: −$143M
Q4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: −$226MQ3 2024: −$165MQ4 2024: −$48MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: −$70MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: $199MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: −$143M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$143M-248%
Q2 2026-$193.8M-$124M
Q1 2026$198.6M-12%
Q4 2025$236.2M+$284.4M
Q3 2025$96.5M+$261.7M
Q2 2025-$69.8M+$156.3M
Q1 2025$224.9M+$280M
Q4 2024-$48.2M+$64.4M

TTWO usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$143M, but it generated $98M over the past year.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over TTWO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TTWO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 170MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 175MQ4 2024: 176MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 186MQ3 2026: 187M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 170MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 175MQ4 2024: 176MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 186MQ3 2026: 187M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+900K shares
1 year+1.4%+2.5M shares
3 years+10%+17.2M shares
5 years+60%+70.3M shares
Available history+64%+72.8M shares

TTWO has 187M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over TTWO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TTWO Net Leverage

Q1 2026: 10.3xQ2 2026: 33.0xQ3 2026: 92.6x
Q1 2026: 10.3xQ2 2026: 33.0xQ3 2026: 92.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202692.6xHigh
Q2 202633.0xHigh
Q1 202610.3xHigh
Q3 202230.0xHigh
Q2 20227.2xHigh
Q1 2022-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2021-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2021-1.3xNet Cash

TTWO's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.2 years a year ago.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TTWO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.3Neutral
Stochastic36.8Neutral

TTWO's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

TTWO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTTWOSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

TTWO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

TTWO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$207.39.5% above
20 week MA$223.61.5% above
50 week MA$222.81.9% above
100 week MA$223.01.8% above
200 week MA$184.723% above

TTWO has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

TTWO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$124.5$202.5+63%
2021$202.5$178.0-12%
2022$178.0$99.8-44%
2023$99.8$161.0+61%
2024$161.0$186.4+16%
2025$186.4$256.1+37%
2026 YTD$256.1$227.0-11%

TTWO has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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