NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over TRVG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TRVG

trivago N.V.

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

TRVG's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TRVG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

TRVG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over TRVG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TRVG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE59x118x177x236x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE59x118x177x236x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current19x$4.02—
Cheap20x$4.21+4.6%
Fair34x$7.15+78%
Expensive84x$17.69+340%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRVG's PE is 19x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

TRVG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TRVG to return to profit, with revenue growing.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRVG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TRVG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$6.03
Downside-33%$2.69

Calculated from the latest close: $4.02 on Nov 12.

TRVG trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.46 over the past year, up 45% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

TRVG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.53Q4 2023: $-2.65Q1 2024: $-2.95Q2 2024: $-3.12Q3 2024: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.40Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.21
Q3 2023: $-2.53Q4 2023: $-2.65Q1 2024: $-2.95Q2 2024: $-3.12Q3 2024: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.40Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.21+$0.61
Q1 2026$0.18+$0.55
Q4 2025$0.17+$0.55
Q3 2025$0.01+$0.43
Q2 2025-$0.40+$2.72
Q1 2025-$0.37+$2.58
Q4 2024-$0.38+$2.27
Q3 2024-$0.42+$2.11

TRVG has returned to profit: it earned $0.21 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $12.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

TRVG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $175MQ4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $113MQ2 2024: $132MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $105MQ1 2025: $138MQ2 2025: $155MQ3 2025: $184MQ4 2025: $132MQ1 2026: $161MQ2 2026: $187M
Q3 2023: $175MQ4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $113MQ2 2024: $132MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $105MQ1 2025: $138MQ2 2025: $155MQ3 2025: $184MQ4 2025: $132MQ1 2026: $161MQ2 2026: $187M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$187.1M+21%
Q1 2026$161.4M+17%
Q4 2025$132M+25%
Q3 2025$183.9M+13%
Q2 2025$154.7M+17%
Q1 2025$137.9M+22%
Q4 2024$105.3M+3.4%
Q3 2024$162.3M-7.5%

TRVG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $187M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over TRVG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRVG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $21M
Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$20.5M+$28.9M
Q1 2026-$5.5M+$11.2M
Q4 2025$20.2M-31%
Q3 2025$8.6M+156%
Q2 2025-$8.4M-$3.3M
Q1 2025-$16.7M-$8.8M
Q4 2024$29.1M+81%
Q3 2024$3.4M-20%

TRVG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $44M over the past year.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over TRVG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TRVG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 69MQ4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 70MQ4 2024: 70MQ1 2025: 70MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 71M
Q3 2023: 69MQ4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 70MQ4 2024: 70MQ1 2025: 70MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.4%+278K shares
3 years+0.2%+171K shares
5 years-0.9%-674K shares
Available history-1.1%-819K shares

TRVG has 71M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TRVG Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -5.8xQ4 2025: -7.1xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -4.6x
Q3 2025: -5.8xQ4 2025: -7.1xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.8xNet Cash
Q1 2022-7.1xNet Cash
Q4 2021-6.5xNet Cash
Q4 2019-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2019-1.7xNet Cash

TRVG has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TRVG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.2Neutral
Stochastic14.4Oversold

TRVG's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX has the edge over TRVG on valuation relative to its sector.

TRVG PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTRVGSector medianRelative
PE19x16x17% above
PE %162610 pts below

TRVG is trading at 19x earnings, a 17% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

TRVG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.173.6% below
20 week MA$5.0420% below
50 week MA$3.912.8% above
100 week MA$3.747.5% above
200 week MA$3.932.3% above

TRVG has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

TRVG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$11.0-15%
2021$11.0$10.8-2.3%
2022$10.8$6.90-36%
2023$6.90$2.44-65%
2024$2.44$2.30-5.7%
2025$2.30$2.89+26%
2026 YTD$2.89$4.02+39%

TRVG has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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