NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over TIGO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TIGO

Millicom International Cellular S.A.

50
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation24/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

TIGO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TIGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

TIGO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over TIGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TIGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE186x372x558x744x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE186x372x558x744x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$34.70-57%
Fair14x$56.42-30%
Current20x$80.83—
Forward21x$80.83—
Expensive32x$127+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TIGO's PE is in its fair range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over TIGO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

TIGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TIGO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TIGO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TIGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$88.87
Downside-40%$48.64

Calculated from the latest close: $80.83 on Nov 12.

TIGO trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over TIGO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TIGO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.22Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.62Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $2.06Q2 2025: $5.64Q3 2025: $6.50Q4 2025: $7.83Q1 2026: $7.34Q2 2026: $3.96Forward: $3.89
Q3 2023: $0.22Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.62Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $2.06Q2 2025: $5.64Q3 2025: $6.50Q4 2025: $7.83Q1 2026: $7.34Q2 2026: $3.96Forward: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.89-1.8%
Q2 2026$3.96-30%
Q1 2026$7.34+256%
Q4 2025$7.83+436%
Q3 2025$6.50+614%
Q2 2025$5.64+810%
Q1 2025$2.06+5050%
Q4 2024$1.46+$1.94
Q3 2024$0.91+314%

TIGO earned $3.96 per share over the past year, down 30% from the year before.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over TIGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TIGO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.4BQ4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.2B
Q3 2023: $1.4BQ4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.2B+59%
Q1 2026$2B+44%
Q4 2025$1.7B+16%
Q3 2025$1.4B-0.8%
Q2 2025$1.4B-5.9%
Q1 2025$1.4B-7.6%
Q4 2024$1.4B-3.2%
Q3 2024$1.4B+0.5%

TIGO's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $2.2B last quarter, up 59% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

TIGO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $128MQ4 2023: $183MQ1 2024: $117MQ2 2024: $299MQ3 2024: $284MQ4 2024: $279MQ1 2025: $232MQ2 2025: $310MQ3 2025: $339MQ4 2025: $291MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $464M
Q3 2023: $128MQ4 2023: $183MQ1 2024: $117MQ2 2024: $299MQ3 2024: $284MQ4 2024: $279MQ1 2025: $232MQ2 2025: $310MQ3 2025: $339MQ4 2025: $291MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$464M+50%
Q1 2026$449M+94%
Q4 2025$291M+4.4%
Q3 2025$338.6M+19%
Q2 2025$310.1M+3.7%
Q1 2025$232M+98%
Q4 2024$278.7M+53%
Q3 2024$284M+122%

TIGO has the edge over NFLX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over TIGO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TIGO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 173MQ4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 168MQ3 2025: 168MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 168M
Q3 2023: 173MQ4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 168MQ3 2025: 168MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 168M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+474K shares
1 year+0.2%+370K shares
3 years-1.9%-3.3M shares
5 years+30%+38.9M shares
Available history+30%+39.2M shares

TIGO has 168M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over TIGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TIGO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.3xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.3x
Q3 2023: 3.3xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate
Q3 20242.6xModerate

TIGO's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.2 years a year ago.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TIGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.8Neutral
Stochastic17.5Oversold

TIGO's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX has the edge over TIGO on valuation relative to its sector.

TIGO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTIGOSector medianRelative
PE20x16x24% above
PE %622636 pts above

TIGO is trading at 20x earnings, a 24% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

TIGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$83.22.8% below
20 week MA$90.411% below
50 week MA$79.22% above
100 week MA$58.339% above
200 week MA$39.2106% above

TIGO has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

TIGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.2$38.6-20%
2021$38.6$27.3-29%
2022$27.3$12.9-53%
2023$12.9$18.0+40%
2024$18.0$24.9+38%
2025$24.9$54.8+120%
2026 YTD$54.8$80.8+48%

TIGO has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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