NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over TDS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

TDS

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.

56
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

TDS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
Weak
Strong

TDS's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

TDS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7.5x$30.73—
Cheap12x$48.62+58%
Fair17x$71.06+131%
Expensive23x$94.77+208%
Forward116x$30.73—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TDS has the edge over NFLX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over TDS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

TDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TDS to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TDS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$36.78
Downside-33%$20.72

Calculated from the latest close: $30.73 on Nov 12.

TDS trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.46 over the past year, up 45% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

TDS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.06Q1 2024: $-4.88Q2 2024: $-4.84Q3 2024: $-5.41Q4 2024: $-0.85Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.96Q3 2025: $-1.07Q4 2025: $-0.65Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $3.00Q3 2026: $4.09Forward: $0.26
Q4 2023: $-5.06Q1 2024: $-4.88Q2 2024: $-4.84Q3 2024: $-5.41Q4 2024: $-0.85Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-0.96Q3 2025: $-1.07Q4 2025: $-0.65Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $3.00Q3 2026: $4.09Forward: $0.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.26-94%
Q3 2026$4.09+$5.16
Q2 2026$3.00+$3.96
Q1 2026$0.53+$1.57
Q4 2025-$0.65+$0.20
Q3 2025-$1.07+$4.34
Q2 2025-$0.96+$3.88
Q1 2025-$1.04+$3.84
Q4 2024-$0.85+$4.21

TDS has returned to profit: it earned $4.09 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over TDS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $309MQ4 2025: $331MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $309MQ3 2026: $307M
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $309MQ4 2025: $331MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $309MQ3 2026: $307M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$306.7M-0.6%
Q2 2026$309.3M-74%
Q1 2026$309.5M-73%
Q4 2025$330.7M-73%
Q3 2025$308.5M-75%
Q2 2025$1.2B-4.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-8.6%
Q4 2024$1.2B-5.5%

TDS's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $307M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over TDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TDS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$86MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $264MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: −$109MQ1 2026: −$82MQ2 2026: −$113MQ3 2026: −$306M
Q4 2023: −$86MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $264MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: −$109MQ1 2026: −$82MQ2 2026: −$113MQ3 2026: −$306M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$305.5M-$292.8M
Q2 2026-$113.3M-143%
Q1 2026-$81.6M-243%
Q4 2025-$108.9M-$91.9M
Q3 2025-$12.7M-112%
Q2 2025$264M+42%
Q1 2025$57M+$68M
Q4 2024-$17M+$69M

TDS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$609M over the past year, against $291M the year before.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over TDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TDS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 114MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 117MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 115M
Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 114MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 117MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 115M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1.3M shares
1 year-3.2%-3.8M shares
3 years+1.8%+2M shares
5 years-0.9%-1M shares
Available history-0.9%-1M shares

TDS has 115M diluted shares, down 3.2% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TDS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: 7.3xQ2 2024: 6.9xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.6xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: 7.7xQ1 2024: 7.3xQ2 2024: 6.9xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.6xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20253.6xElevated
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20243.7xElevated

TDS has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic25.1Neutral

TDS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

TDS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTDSSector medianRelative
PE7.5x16x54% below
PE %02626 pts below

TDS has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

TDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.09.6% below
20 week MA$34.611% below
50 week MA$39.422% below
100 week MA$38.119% below
200 week MA$27.811% above

TDS has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

TDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.9$18.3-27%
2021$18.3$20.6+13%
2022$20.6$10.6-49%
2023$10.6$18.4+74%
2024$18.4$34.8+90%
2025$34.8$40.3+16%
2026 YTD$40.3$30.7-24%

TDS has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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