NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over TDAY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

TDAY

USA TODAY Co., Inc.

49
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential72/ 100

TDAY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TDAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Weak

TDAY's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over TDAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TDAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE190x380x570x760x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE190x380x570x760x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$0.52-92%
Fair11x$0.64-91%
Forward35x$6.86—
Expensive83x$5.01-27%
Current114x$6.86—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TDAY's PE is in its expensive range at 114x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

TDAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TDAY to return to profit, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TDAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TDAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$7.69
Downside-72%$1.91

Calculated from the latest close: $6.86 on Nov 12.

TDAY trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over TDAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.20Q1 2024: $-0.87Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.01Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $-0.18Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.19
Q4 2023: $-0.20Q1 2024: $-0.87Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.01Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $-0.18Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.19+223%
Q3 2026$0.06-89%
Q2 2026-$0.18-126%
Q1 2026$0.18-51%
Q4 2025$0.01+$0.19
Q3 2025$0.57+$1.38
Q2 2025$0.70+$1.39
Q1 2025$0.37+$1.24
Q4 2024-$0.18+$0.02

TDAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.06 over the past year, against $0.70 in mid-2025.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over TDAY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $669MQ1 2024: $636MQ2 2024: $640MQ3 2024: $612MQ4 2024: $621MQ1 2025: $572MQ2 2025: $585MQ3 2025: $561MQ4 2025: $585MQ1 2026: $548MQ2 2026: $536MQ3 2026: $519M
Q4 2023: $669MQ1 2024: $636MQ2 2024: $640MQ3 2024: $612MQ4 2024: $621MQ1 2025: $572MQ2 2025: $585MQ3 2025: $561MQ4 2025: $585MQ1 2026: $548MQ2 2026: $536MQ3 2026: $519M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$519.2M-7.4%
Q2 2026$536.3M-8.3%
Q1 2026$548.5M-4%
Q4 2025$585M-5.8%
Q3 2025$560.8M-8.4%
Q2 2025$584.9M-8.6%
Q1 2025$571.6M-10%
Q4 2024$621.3M-7.2%

TDAY's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $519M last quarter, down 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over TDAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.1M-16%
Q2 2026$19.6M+12%
Q1 2026$6.4M-35%
Q4 2025$30.8M+$34.6M
Q3 2025$4.9M-75%
Q2 2025$17.5M-31%
Q1 2025$9.8M+3.3%
Q4 2024-$3.8M-130%

TDAY still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $61M over the past year.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over TDAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TDAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 241MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 146MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 194MQ3 2026: 147M
Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 241MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 146MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 198MQ2 2026: 194MQ3 2026: 147M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-24%-46.5M shares
1 year+1.1%+1.6M shares
3 years+5%+7.1M shares
5 years-38%-90.1M shares
Available history+13%+16.9M shares

TDAY has 147M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over TDAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TDAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 5.5xQ3 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 8.6xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 5.5xQ3 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 8.6xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20255.9xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20248.6xHigh

TDAY's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.9 years a year ago.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TDAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic32.2Neutral

TDAY's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX has the edge over TDAY on valuation relative to its sector.

TDAY PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTDAYSector medianRelative
PE114x16x593% above
PE %912665 pts above

TDAY is trading at 114x earnings, a 593% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

TDAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.722.1% above
20 week MA$7.133.8% below
50 week MA$6.840.3% above
100 week MA$5.4326% above
200 week MA$4.2761% above

TDAY has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

TDAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.20$2.75-56%
2021$2.75$5.61+104%
2022$5.61$2.10-63%
2023$2.10$2.30+9.5%
2024$2.30$4.98+117%
2025$4.98$5.42+8.8%
2026 YTD$5.42$6.86+27%

TDAY has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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