NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over T overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

T

AT&T Inc.

56
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential22/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

T's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

T Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

T's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over T in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

T PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x109x163x217x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x109x163x217x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$14.50-35%
Forward8.8x$22.18—
Fair12x$22.48+1.3%
Current12x$22.18—
Expensive18x$33.86+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

T's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.8x next year's earnings.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

T Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect T's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than T, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

T Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+8%$24.01
Downside-30%$15.56

Calculated from the latest close: $22.18 on Nov 12.

T trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over T on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

T Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.96Q1 2024: $1.86Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $1.23Q4 2024: $1.49Q1 2025: $1.63Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $3.08Q4 2025: $3.04Q1 2026: $2.97Q2 2026: $3.01Q3 2026: $1.84Forward: $2.53
Q4 2023: $1.96Q1 2024: $1.86Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $1.23Q4 2024: $1.49Q1 2025: $1.63Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $3.08Q4 2025: $3.04Q1 2026: $2.97Q2 2026: $3.01Q3 2026: $1.84Forward: $2.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.53+38%
Q3 2026$1.84-40%
Q2 2026$3.01+71%
Q1 2026$2.97+82%
Q4 2025$3.04+104%
Q3 2025$3.08+150%
Q2 2025$1.76+1.1%
Q1 2025$1.63-12%
Q4 2024$1.49-24%

T's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.84 over the past year, against $3.08 in late 2025.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over T on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

T Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $32BQ1 2024: $30BQ2 2024: $29.8BQ3 2024: $30.2BQ4 2024: $32.3BQ1 2025: $30.6BQ2 2025: $30.8BQ3 2025: $30.7BQ4 2025: $33.5BQ1 2026: $31.5BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $32.3B
Q4 2023: $32BQ1 2024: $30BQ2 2024: $29.8BQ3 2024: $30.2BQ4 2024: $32.3BQ1 2025: $30.6BQ2 2025: $30.8BQ3 2025: $30.7BQ4 2025: $33.5BQ1 2026: $31.5BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $32.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$32.3B+5.3%
Q2 2026$31.6B+2.3%
Q1 2026$31.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$33.5B+3.6%
Q3 2025$30.7B+1.6%
Q2 2025$30.8B+3.5%
Q1 2025$30.6B+2%
Q4 2024$32.3B+0.9%

T's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $32.3B last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over T on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

T Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $4.9BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $5.1BQ3 2026: $5.5B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $4.9BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $5.1BQ3 2026: $5.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.5B+3.7%
Q2 2026$5.1B+4.8%
Q1 2026$2.7B-43%
Q4 2025$4.5B-10%
Q3 2025$5.3B+6.7%
Q2 2025$4.9B+2.8%
Q1 2025$4.8B+26%
Q4 2024$5.1B-25%

T's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $17.8B over the past year, down 11% from the year before.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has 4.2B diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $12.9B in buybacks over the past year.

T Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.3BQ1 2024: 7.2BQ2 2024: 7.2BQ3 2024: 7.2BQ4 2024: 7.2BQ1 2025: 7.2BQ2 2025: 7.2BQ3 2025: 7.2BQ4 2025: 7.2BQ1 2026: 7BQ2 2026: 6.9BQ3 2026: 6.8B
Q4 2023: 7.3BQ1 2024: 7.2BQ2 2024: 7.2BQ3 2024: 7.2BQ4 2024: 7.2BQ1 2025: 7.2BQ2 2025: 7.2BQ3 2025: 7.2BQ4 2025: 7.2BQ1 2026: 7BQ2 2026: 6.9BQ3 2026: 6.8B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-102M shares
1 year-4.5%-325M shares
3 years-4.7%-341M shares
5 years-5%-358M shares
Available history-6.9%-504M shares

T has the edge over NFLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over T on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

T Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 3.4x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.4xElevated
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

T's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.7 years a year ago.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

T Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.2Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

T's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

T PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTSector medianRelative
PE12x16x27% below
PE %492623 pts above

T has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

T Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.72.2% below
20 week MA$23.55.5% below
50 week MA$24.811% below
100 week MA$25.714% below
200 week MA$21.81.9% above

T has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

T Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.6$21.7-27%
2021$21.7$18.8-13%
2022$18.8$18.3-2.5%
2023$18.3$16.8-8.4%
2024$16.8$22.9+36%
2025$22.9$24.7+7.8%
2026 YTD$24.7$22.2-10%

T has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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