NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over SWAG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

SWAG

Stran & Company, Inc.

54
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

SWAG trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SWAG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

SWAG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

SWAG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x163x245x326x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x163x245x326x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$1.24—
Cheap92x$7.39+496%
Fair115x$9.22+643%
Expensive250x$19.98+1512%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SWAG has the edge over NFLX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over SWAG on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

SWAG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Decline
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SWAG's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SWAG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SWAG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$1.73
Downside-27%$0.90

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

SWAG trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over SWAG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWAG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.12Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $0.02Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.08
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.21Q2 2025: $-0.12Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $0.02Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.08+$0.16
Q2 2026$0.01+$0.13
Q1 2026$0.02+$0.23
Q4 2025-$0.04+$0.18
Q3 2025-$0.08+$0.09
Q2 2025-$0.12-$0.10
Q1 2025-$0.21-$0.20
Q4 2024-$0.22-$0.20

SWAG has returned to profit: it earned $0.08 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over SWAG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SWAG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28.1M+8.2%
Q2 2026$33.4M+2.4%
Q1 2026$31.2M+8.9%
Q4 2025$28.9M+7.2%
Q3 2025$26M+29%
Q2 2025$32.6M+95%
Q1 2025$28.7M+52%
Q4 2024$27M+15%

SWAG's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $28M last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over SWAG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWAG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $629,208Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $38,000Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $358,000Q3 2026: $243,000
Q4 2023: $629,208Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $38,000Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $358,000Q3 2026: $243,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$243K+$6.1M
Q2 2026$358K-94%
Q1 2026$1.2M+$7.2M
Q4 2025$38K-97%
Q3 2025-$5.9M-$3M
Q2 2025$6.3M+229%
Q1 2025-$6M-421%
Q4 2024$1.2M+97%

SWAG's free cash flow has turned positive again: $2M over the past year, against −$4M the year before.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over SWAG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SWAG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-132K shares
1 year+1.3%+240K shares
3 years+0.6%+110K shares
5 years+24%+3.6M shares
Available history+24%+3.6M shares

SWAG has 19M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SWAG Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -101.2xQ2 2024: -153.5xQ1 2026: -21.7xQ2 2026: -87.2xQ3 2026: -4.3x
Q1 2024: -101.2xQ2 2024: -153.5xQ1 2026: -21.7xQ2 2026: -87.2xQ3 2026: -4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-87.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-21.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-153.5xNet Cash
Q1 2024-101.2xNet Cash
Q1 20216.2xHigh
Q4 20202.0xModerate

SWAG has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

SWAG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.5Oversold
Stochastic4.7Oversold

SWAG's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

SWAG PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricSWAGSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %03232 pts below

SWAG has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

SWAG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.368.8% below
20 week MA$1.6826% below
50 week MA$1.7830% below
100 week MA$1.5822% below
200 week MA$1.4615% below

SWAG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

SWAG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.85$5.92-40%
2022$5.92$1.34-77%
2023$1.34$1.48+10%
2024$1.48$0.95-36%
2025$0.95$1.68+77%
2026 YTD$1.68$1.24-26%

SWAG has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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