NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX has the edge over SPHR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment Co.
SPHR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NFLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SPHR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
SPHR's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
NFLX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $62.69 | — |
| Current | 18x | $62.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $94.95 | +51% |
| Fair | 47x | $161 | +157% |
| Expensive | 81x | $281 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
SPHR PE Valuation
SPHR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NFLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
NFLX has the edge over SPHR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SPHR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SPHR's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NFLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | +3.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.46 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.18 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.39 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.12 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.98 | +65% |
NFLX has the edge over SPHR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SPHR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.53 | +$1.64 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.49 | +$3.83 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.97 | +$13.01 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.74 | +$9.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.17 | +$5.35 |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.32 | +$0.36 |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.04 | -191% |
| Q4 2024 | -$9.10 | -178% |
SPHR is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.53 per share over the past year, against $10.52 at its worst in late 2024.
NFLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.5B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2B | +16% |
NFLX has the edge over SPHR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.2 points |
NFLX has the edge over SPHR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SPHR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $274.3M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $313.6M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $386.4M | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $394.3M | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $262.5M | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $282.7M | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $280.6M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $308.3M | -1.9% |
SPHR's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $274M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -88% | -38 points |
| Q2 2026 | -20% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.9% | +30 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.3% | +54 points |
| Q3 2025 | -49% | +2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -18% | +8.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -28% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | -46% | N/A |
SPHR's operating margin was −88% last quarter, down 38 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NFLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -13% |
NFLX has the edge over SPHR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SPHR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $56.9M | -51% |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.7M | +$25.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $136.2M | +2046% |
| Q4 2025 | $180.2M | +614% |
| Q3 2025 | $115.8M | +240% |
| Q2 2025 | -$59.1M | +$13.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.3M | -94% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.3M | -46% |
SPHR generated $340M in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.
NFLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -66.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -145M shares |
| 3 years | -6.8% | -305M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -354M shares |
| Available history | -7.1% | -323M shares |
NFLX has 4.2B diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $12.9B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $963.7M |
NFLX spent $12.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
SPHR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +186K shares |
| 1 year | -19% | -8.5M shares |
| 3 years | +4% | +1.4M shares |
| 5 years | -30% | -15.9M shares |
SPHR has the edge over NFLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $16,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
NFLX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
NFLX has the edge over SPHR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SPHR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2022 | 15.9x | High |
SPHR's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.
NFLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
SPHR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 23.2 | Neutral |
SPHR's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NFLX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 16x | 9.8% above |
| PE % | 4 | 26 | 22 pts below |
NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
SPHR PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | SPHR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 16x | — |
SPHR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NFLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.6 | 5.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.4 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $96.0 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.4 | 16% below |
NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
SPHR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $117.6 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $136.7 | 9.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $125.4 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $85.6 | 44% above |
| 200 week MA | $60.9 | 103% above |
SPHR has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NFLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $51.4 | +56% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $61.4 | +19% |
| 2022 | $61.4 | $29.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $48.7 | +65% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $90.8 | +86% |
| 2025 | $90.8 | $94.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.5 | $62.7 | -34% |
NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
SPHR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.9 | $40.7 | -0.3% |
| 2021 | $40.7 | $32.8 | -19% |
| 2022 | $32.8 | $19.9 | -39% |
| 2023 | $19.9 | $34.0 | +71% |
| 2024 | $34.0 | $38.1 | +12% |
| 2025 | $38.1 | $93.4 | +145% |
| 2026 YTD | $93.4 | $123.7 | +32% |
SPHR has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.