NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX has the edge over SIRI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
SIRI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NFLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SIRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
SIRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NFLX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $62.69 | — |
| Current | 18x | $62.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $94.95 | +51% |
| Fair | 47x | $161 | +157% |
| Expensive | 81x | $281 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NFLX has the edge over SIRI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SIRI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $25.48 | -20% |
| Forward | 10x | $31.74 | — |
| Current | 13x | $31.74 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $42.45 | +34% |
| Expensive | 34x | $83.36 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SIRI's PE is in its fair range at 13x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.
NFLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.
SIRI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SIRI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NFLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | +3.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.46 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.18 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.39 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.12 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.98 | +65% |
NFLX has the edge over SIRI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SIRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.13 | +29% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.43 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.49 | +$7.62 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.36 | +$7.26 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.23 | +$7.02 |
| Q3 2025 | $4.45 | +$10.79 |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.13 | -255% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.90 | -248% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.79 | -250% |
SIRI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.43 over the past year, against $4.45 in late 2025.
NFLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.5B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2B | +16% |
NFLX has the edge over SIRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.2 points |
NFLX has the edge over SIRI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SIRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.2B | +0.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | -0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1B | -1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1B | -4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.2B | -4.4% |
SIRI's revenue has held roughly level: $2.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | +3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +157 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -6.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | +1.6 points |
SIRI's operating margin was 22% last quarter, down 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NFLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -13% |
NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.
SIRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $291M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $592M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $166M | +213% |
| Q4 2025 | $536M | +4.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $255M | +963% |
| Q2 2025 | $401M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $53M | -60% |
| Q4 2024 | $514M | +17% |
SIRI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.6B over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
NFLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -66.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -145M shares |
| 3 years | -6.8% | -305M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -354M shares |
| Available history | -7.1% | -323M shares |
NFLX has the edge over SIRI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $963.7M |
NFLX spent $12.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
SIRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +6.1% | +21M shares |
| 1 year | +2% | +7M shares |
| 3 years | -6.1% | -23.5M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -48.9M shares |
| Available history | -21% | -98.6M shares |
SIRI has 363M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33M |
| Q2 2026 | $6M |
| Q1 2026 | $22M |
| Q4 2025 | $45M |
| Q3 2025 | $21M |
| Q2 2025 | $45M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | $6M |
SIRI spent $106M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 9.3% from the year before.
NFLX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
NFLX has the edge over SIRI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SIRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2024 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q4 2023 | 3.8x | Elevated |
SIRI's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.6 years a year ago.
NFLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
SIRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.1 | Neutral |
SIRI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NFLX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 16x | 9.8% above |
| PE % | 4 | 26 | 22 pts below |
NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
SIRI PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | SIRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 16x | 21% below |
| PE % | 33 | 26 | 7 pts above |
SIRI has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.
NFLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.6 | 5.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.4 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $96.0 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.4 | 16% below |
NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
SIRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $28.2 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $28.9 | 9.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $25.8 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.2 | 31% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.7 | 0.1% above |
SIRI has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NFLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $51.4 | +56% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $61.4 | +19% |
| 2022 | $61.4 | $29.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $48.7 | +65% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $90.8 | +86% |
| 2025 | $90.8 | $94.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.5 | $62.7 | -34% |
NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
SIRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $71.4 | $63.1 | -12% |
| 2021 | $63.1 | $64.3 | +1.9% |
| 2022 | $64.3 | $58.4 | -9.2% |
| 2023 | $58.4 | $54.7 | -6.3% |
| 2024 | $54.7 | $23.1 | -58% |
| 2025 | $23.1 | $20.6 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.6 | $31.7 | +54% |
SIRI has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.