NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over SBGI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SBGI

Sinclair, Inc.

49
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

SBGI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SBGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

SBGI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over SBGI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SBGI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.7x$0.96-93%
Fair7.3x$10.58-27%
Current10x$14.58—
Expensive15x$22.12+52%
Forward37x$14.58—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBGI's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 37x, in its expensive range.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over SBGI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

SBGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SBGI to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SBGI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SBGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$19.88
Downside-27%$10.69

Calculated from the latest close: $14.58 on Nov 12.

SBGI trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over SBGI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBGI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.85Q1 2024: $-7.15Q2 2024: $-5.50Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $4.69Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $-0.59Q4 2025: $-1.61Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $1.44Forward: $0.39
Q4 2023: $-4.85Q1 2024: $-7.15Q2 2024: $-5.50Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $4.69Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $-0.59Q4 2025: $-1.61Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $1.44Forward: $0.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.39-73%
Q3 2026$1.44+$2.03
Q2 2026$0.82-4.7%
Q1 2026$0.97-52%
Q4 2025-$1.61-134%
Q3 2025-$0.59+$2.74
Q2 2025$0.86+$6.36
Q1 2025$2.04+$9.19
Q4 2024$4.69+$9.54

SBGI has returned to profit: it earned $1.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over SBGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBGI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $826MQ1 2024: $798MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $917MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $773MQ4 2025: $836MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $893M
Q4 2023: $826MQ1 2024: $798MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $917MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $773MQ4 2025: $836MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $893M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$893M+16%
Q2 2026$840M+7.1%
Q1 2026$807M+4%
Q4 2025$836M-17%
Q3 2025$773M-16%
Q2 2025$784M-5.4%
Q1 2025$776M-2.8%
Q4 2024$1B+22%

SBGI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $893M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over SBGI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBGI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$329MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$329MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$109M+$167M
Q2 2026$46M-56%
Q1 2026$28M+$39M
Q4 2025$79M-55%
Q3 2025-$58M-130%
Q2 2025$105M+$434M
Q1 2025-$11M+$14M
Q4 2024$175M+150%

SBGI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $262M over the past year.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over SBGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SBGI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+305K shares
1 year+4%+2.8M shares
3 years+14%+9.1M shares
5 years-4%-3.1M shares
Available history-22%-20.5M shares

SBGI has 72M diluted shares, up 4% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over SBGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SBGI Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 235.3xQ3 2024: 23.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
Q2 2024: 235.3xQ3 2024: 23.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.1xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20258.3xHigh
Q3 20255.9xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

SBGI's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

SBGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.7Neutral
Stochastic43.1Neutral

SBGI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

SBGI PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricSBGISector medianRelative
PE10x16x39% below
PE %542628 pts above

SBGI has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

SBGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.012% above
20 week MA$13.76.7% above
50 week MA$14.22.4% above
100 week MA$14.41.1% above
200 week MA$14.50.6% above

SBGI has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

SBGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.7$31.3-7.2%
2021$31.3$26.6-15%
2022$26.6$15.3-42%
2023$15.3$13.0-15%
2024$13.0$15.8+21%
2025$15.8$15.3-3.5%
2026 YTD$15.3$14.6-4.5%

SBGI has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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