NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over PLAY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

PLAY

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.

42
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

PLAY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PLAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

PLAY's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

PLAY PE Valuation

PLAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over PLAY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PLAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PLAY's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PLAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$13.21
Downside-41%$4.66

Calculated from the latest close: $7.85 on Nov 12.

PLAY trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over PLAY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PLAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.74Q1 2024: $2.88Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $2.81Q4 2024: $2.09Q1 2025: $1.46Q2 2025: $1.09Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.04Q1 2026: $-1.40Q2 2026: $-1.86Q3 2026: $-2.54
Q4 2023: $2.74Q1 2024: $2.88Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $2.81Q4 2024: $2.09Q1 2025: $1.46Q2 2025: $1.09Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.04Q1 2026: $-1.40Q2 2026: $-1.86Q3 2026: $-2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.54-705%
Q2 2026-$1.86-271%
Q1 2026-$1.40-196%
Q4 2025$0.04-98%
Q3 2025$0.42-85%
Q2 2025$1.09-55%
Q1 2025$1.46-49%
Q4 2024$2.09-24%

PLAY has swung to a loss: it lost $2.54 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over PLAY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PLAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $467MQ1 2024: $599MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $557MQ4 2024: $453MQ1 2025: $535MQ2 2025: $568MQ3 2025: $557MQ4 2025: $448MQ1 2026: $530MQ2 2026: $559MQ3 2026: $544M
Q4 2023: $467MQ1 2024: $599MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $557MQ4 2024: $453MQ1 2025: $535MQ2 2025: $568MQ3 2025: $557MQ4 2025: $448MQ1 2026: $530MQ2 2026: $559MQ3 2026: $544M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$544.1M-2.4%
Q2 2026$559.2M-1.5%
Q1 2026$529.6M-0.9%
Q4 2025$448.2M-1.1%
Q3 2025$557.4M+0.1%
Q2 2025$567.7M-3.5%
Q1 2025$534.5M-11%
Q4 2024$453M-3%

PLAY's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $544M last quarter, down 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over PLAY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PLAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$138MQ1 2025: −$61MQ2 2025: −$59MQ3 2025: −$55MQ4 2025: −$21MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$38M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$138MQ1 2025: −$61MQ2 2025: −$59MQ3 2025: −$55MQ4 2025: −$21MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$37.9M+$17.3M
Q2 2026$8.5M+$67.3M
Q1 2026$34M+$95M
Q4 2025-$20.6M+$117.8M
Q3 2025-$55.2M-$40.9M
Q2 2025-$58.8M-$54.6M
Q1 2025-$61M-$35.6M
Q4 2024-$138.4M-$135.4M

PLAY has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$16M over the past year, against −$313M the year before.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over PLAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-130K shares
1 year-0.9%-330K shares
3 years-20%-8.6M shares
5 years-29%-14.4M shares
Available history+10%+3.3M shares

PLAY has 35M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over PLAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.6xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.6xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20264.2xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.6xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20242.9xModerate

PLAY's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

PLAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic29.2Neutral

PLAY's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

PLAY PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricPLAYSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

PLAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

PLAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.297.7% above
20 week MA$8.7210% below
50 week MA$12.236% below
100 week MA$17.655% below
200 week MA$29.974% below

PLAY has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX has the edge over PLAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.7$29.6-27%
2021$29.6$39.5+33%
2022$39.5$35.0-11%
2023$35.0$53.9+54%
2024$53.9$29.1-46%
2025$29.1$16.3-44%
2026 YTD$16.3$7.85-52%

PLAY has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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