NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over ORCL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ORCL

Oracle Corporation

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ORCL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ORCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Strong

ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over ORCL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ORCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$127—
Cheap19x$119-6.8%
Current20x$127—
Fair30x$189+49%
Expensive39x$247+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORCL's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

ORCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ORCL, but weaker profitability.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ORCL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ORCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$192.98
Downside-19%$102.46

Calculated from the latest close: $127.11 on Nov 12.

ORCL trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over ORCL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ORCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.53+34%
Q3 2026$6.38+48%
Q2 2026$5.83+34%
Q1 2026$5.57+31%
Q4 2025$5.32+30%
Q3 2025$4.32+11%
Q2 2025$4.34+17%
Q1 2025$4.26+12%
Q4 2024$4.09+13%

ORCL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.38 over the past year, up 48% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over ORCL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ORCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.3B+30%
Q2 2026$19.2B+21%
Q1 2026$17.2B+22%
Q4 2025$16.1B+14%
Q3 2025$14.9B+12%
Q2 2025$15.9B+11%
Q1 2025$14.1B+6.4%
Q4 2024$14.1B+8.6%

ORCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $19.3B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over ORCL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ORCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.4B-$5B
Q2 2026-$1.9B+$1.1B
Q1 2026-$11.5B-16275%
Q4 2025-$10B-$7.3B
Q3 2025-$362M-107%
Q2 2025-$2.9B-189%
Q1 2025$71M-98%
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$1.7B

ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over ORCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ORCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3%+86M shares
1 year+3.1%+91M shares
3 years+6.3%+177M shares
5 years+4.9%+139M shares
Available history-9.9%-331M shares

ORCL has 3B diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ORCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

ORCL has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

ORCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

ORCL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricORCLSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %28357 pts below

ORCL has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

ORCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.13.1% below
20 week MA$137.67.7% below
50 week MA$160.321% below
100 week MA$181.430% below
200 week MA$151.916% below

ORCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX has the edge over ORCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ORCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.5$65.0+22%
2021$65.0$89.7+38%
2022$89.7$80.9-9.9%
2023$80.9$105.4+30%
2024$105.4$169.0+60%
2025$169.0$198.0+17%
2026 YTD$198.0$127.1-36%

ORCL is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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