NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX has the edge over OMC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
OMC
Omnicom Group Inc.
OMC's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
NFLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
OMC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
OMC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
NFLX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $62.69 | — |
| Current | 18x | $62.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $94.95 | +51% |
| Fair | 47x | $161 | +157% |
| Expensive | 81x | $281 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NFLX has the edge over OMC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
OMC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8x | $86.84 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $11.07 | -87% |
| Fair | 12x | $12.60 | -85% |
| Expensive | 14x | $14.68 | -83% |
| Current | 84x | $86.84 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OMC's PE is in its expensive range at 84x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NFLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.
OMC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OMC, with profitability holding steady.
NFLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | +3.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.46 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.18 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.39 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.12 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.98 | +65% |
NFLX has the edge over OMC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OMC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.88 | +957% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.03 | -85% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.40 | -94% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.37 | -105% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.27 | -104% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.78 | -7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.98 | -3.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.32 | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.46 | +8% |
OMC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.03 over the past year, against $7.46 in late 2024.
NFLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.5B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2B | +16% |
NFLX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $12.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.2 points |
NFLX has the edge over OMC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OMC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.6B | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.2B | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.5B | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +4% |
| Q2 2025 | $4B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B | +1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B | +6.4% |
OMC has the edge over NFLX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +3.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -18% | -34 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | -0.1 points |
OMC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NFLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -13% |
NFLX has the edge over OMC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OMC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $912.5M | +108% |
| Q2 2026 | -$433.1M | -358% |
| Q1 2026 | -$614.4M | +$201.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $438.4M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $168M | +$348.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$816.3M | -$174.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +5.1% |
OMC generated $2.9B in free cash flow over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
NFLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -66.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -145M shares |
| 3 years | -6.8% | -305M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -354M shares |
| Available history | -7.1% | -323M shares |
NFLX has the edge over OMC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $963.7M |
NFLX spent $12.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
OMC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -5.6M shares |
| 1 year | +41% | +79.4M shares |
| 3 years | +37% | +73.8M shares |
| 5 years | +27% | +58.3M shares |
| Available history | +25% | +54.5M shares |
OMC has 275M diluted shares, up 41% from a year ago, despite $3.6B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $222.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $210.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $395.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $89.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $142M |
| Q1 2025 | $81M |
| Q4 2024 | $8.3M |
OMC spent $3.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
NFLX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
NFLX has the edge over OMC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
OMC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
OMC's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.
NFLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
OMC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.2 | Neutral |
OMC's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NFLX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 16x | 9.8% above |
| PE % | 4 | 26 | 22 pts below |
NFLX has the edge over OMC on valuation relative to its sector.
OMC PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | OMC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 84x | 16x | 411% above |
| PE % | 97 | 26 | 71 pts above |
OMC is trading at 84x earnings, a 411% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
NFLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.6 | 5.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.4 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $96.0 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.4 | 16% below |
NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
OMC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.6 | 7.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $81.6 | 6.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $78.7 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $78.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $84.2 | 3.2% above |
OMC has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NFLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $51.4 | +56% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $61.4 | +19% |
| 2022 | $61.4 | $29.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $48.7 | +65% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $90.8 | +86% |
| 2025 | $90.8 | $94.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.5 | $62.7 | -34% |
NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
OMC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $80.8 | $61.3 | -24% |
| 2021 | $61.3 | $72.2 | +18% |
| 2022 | $72.2 | $80.5 | +12% |
| 2023 | $80.5 | $86.5 | +7.5% |
| 2024 | $86.5 | $86.5 | 0% |
| 2025 | $86.5 | $80.0 | -7.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $80.0 | $86.8 | +8.5% |
OMC has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.