NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over NYT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NYT

The New York Times Company

69
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

NYT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NYT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

NYT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX has the edge over NYT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NYT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x67x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x67x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$71.46—
Current29x$71.46—
Cheap30x$74.74+4.6%
Fair35x$86.99+22%
Expensive51x$127+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NYT's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

NYT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

NYT has the edge over NFLX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NYT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NYT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$88.67
Downside-11%$63.85

Calculated from the latest close: $71.46 on Nov 12.

NYT trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over NYT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NYT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.40Q1 2024: $1.51Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.04Q4 2025: $2.09Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $3.12
Q4 2023: $1.40Q1 2024: $1.51Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.04Q4 2025: $2.09Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $3.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.12+25%
Q3 2026$2.50+23%
Q2 2026$2.40+24%
Q1 2026$2.33+27%
Q4 2025$2.09+18%
Q3 2025$2.04+20%
Q2 2025$1.93+18%
Q1 2025$1.83+21%
Q4 2024$1.77+26%

NYT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.50 over the past year, up 23% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over NYT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NYT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $676MQ1 2024: $594MQ2 2024: $625MQ3 2024: $640MQ4 2024: $727MQ1 2025: $636MQ2 2025: $686MQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $802MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $762MQ3 2026: $769M
Q4 2023: $676MQ1 2024: $594MQ2 2024: $625MQ3 2024: $640MQ4 2024: $727MQ1 2025: $636MQ2 2025: $686MQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $802MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $762MQ3 2026: $769M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$768.5M+9.7%
Q2 2026$762.5M+11%
Q1 2026$712.2M+12%
Q4 2025$802.3M+10%
Q3 2025$700.8M+9.5%
Q2 2025$685.9M+9.7%
Q1 2025$635.9M+7.1%
Q4 2024$726.6M+7.5%

NYT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $769M last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

NYT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $90MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $200MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $90MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $200MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$170.1M-15%
Q2 2026$184.2M+78%
Q1 2026$81.5M-9.3%
Q4 2025$157.6M+9.7%
Q3 2025$199.7M+69%
Q2 2025$103.3M+42%
Q1 2025$89.9M+93%
Q4 2024$143.6M+10%

NYT has the edge over NFLX on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over NYT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NYT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 164MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 163MQ3 2026: 162M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 164MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 163MQ3 2026: 162M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-790K shares
1 year-1.3%-2.1M shares
3 years-1.9%-3.2M shares
5 years-3.7%-6.3M shares
Available history-3.3%-5.5M shares

NYT has 162M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $226M in buybacks over the past year.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NYT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NYT has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NYT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic65.4Neutral

NYT's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX has the edge over NYT on valuation relative to its sector.

NYT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNYTSector medianRelative
PE29x16x73% above
PE %112615 pts below

NYT is trading at 29x earnings, a 73% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

NYT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.55.8% above
20 week MA$68.93.7% above
50 week MA$72.71.7% below
100 week MA$63.612% above
200 week MA$54.531% above

NYT has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

NYT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.1$51.4+60%
2021$51.4$47.4-7.7%
2022$47.4$33.0-30%
2023$33.0$49.0+48%
2024$49.0$53.2+8.6%
2025$53.2$70.2+32%
2026 YTD$70.2$71.5+1.9%

NYT has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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