NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over NXDR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NXDR

Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.

64
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

NXDR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NXDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

NXDR's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

NXDR PE Valuation

NXDR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 87x next year's earnings.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

NXDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NXDR to return to profit, with revenue growing.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NXDR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NXDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$2.90
Downside-29%$1.45

Calculated from the latest close: $2.05 on Nov 12.

NXDR trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over NXDR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NXDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.39Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.33Q4 2024: $-0.25Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $-0.05Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.39Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.33Q4 2024: $-0.25Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.08Q3 2026: $-0.05Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.05+$0.11
Q2 2026-$0.08+$0.09
Q1 2026-$0.11+$0.13
Q4 2025-$0.14+$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.16+$0.17
Q2 2025-$0.17+$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.24+$0.13
Q4 2024-$0.25+$0.14

NXDR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.05 per share over the past year, against $0.39 at its worst in late 2023.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over NXDR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NXDR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$78.8M+14%
Q2 2026$74.6M+15%
Q1 2026$61.7M+14%
Q4 2025$69.5M+6.5%
Q3 2025$68.9M+5%
Q2 2025$65.1M+2.8%
Q1 2025$54.2M+1.9%
Q4 2024$65.2M+17%

NXDR's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $79M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

NXDR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $340,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $18M
Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $340,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$17.7M+$24.2M
Q2 2026$8.2M+210%
Q1 2026$1.2M+246%
Q4 2025$9.4M-19%
Q3 2025-$6.5M+$6.7M
Q2 2025$2.6M+$8.1M
Q1 2025$340K+$14M
Q4 2024$11.7M+$26.6M

NXDR has the edge over NFLX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over NXDR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NXDR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 379MQ1 2024: 392MQ2 2024: 388MQ3 2024: 378MQ4 2024: 385MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 383MQ3 2025: 387MQ4 2025: 386MQ1 2026: 387MQ2 2026: 381MQ3 2026: 386M
Q4 2023: 379MQ1 2024: 392MQ2 2024: 388MQ3 2024: 378MQ4 2024: 385MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 383MQ3 2025: 387MQ4 2025: 386MQ1 2026: 387MQ2 2026: 381MQ3 2026: 386M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+4.9M shares
1 year-0.3%-1.3M shares
3 years+1.2%+4.5M shares

NXDR has 386M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NXDR Net Leverage

NXDR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NXDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.0Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

NXDR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

NXDR PE vs Communication Services Sector

NXDR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

NXDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.3312% below
20 week MA$2.3513% below
50 week MA$2.050% above
100 week MA$1.983.5% above
200 week MA$2.123.3% below

NXDR has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

NXDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.0$8.82-12%
2022$8.82$1.95-78%
2023$1.95$1.89-3.1%
2024$1.89$2.42+28%
2025$2.42$2.14-12%
2026 YTD$2.14$2.05-4.2%

NXDR has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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