NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over NMAX overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

NMAX

Newsmax, Inc.

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

NMAX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NMAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NMAX's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

NMAX PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current75x$7.29—
Forward2,187x$7.29—
CheapN/AN/AN/A
FairN/AN/AN/A
ExpensiveN/AN/AN/A

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NMAX has the edge over NFLX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over NMAX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

NMAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NMAX to return to profit, with revenue growing.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NMAX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NMAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$11.91
Downside-39%$4.48

Calculated from the latest close: $7.29 on Nov 12.

NMAX trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.46 over the past year, up 45% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

NMAX Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-1.92Q3 2024: $-1.70Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.80Q2 2025: $-1.25Q3 2025: $-1.19Q4 2025: $-1.13Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.05Q3 2026: $0.10Forward: $0.00
Q2 2024: $-1.92Q3 2024: $-1.70Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.80Q2 2025: $-1.25Q3 2025: $-1.19Q4 2025: $-1.13Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.05Q3 2026: $0.10Forward: $0.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.00-97%
Q3 2026$0.10+$1.29
Q2 2026-$0.05+$1.20
Q1 2026-$0.66+$0.14
Q4 2025-$1.13+$0.31
Q3 2025-$1.19+$0.51
Q2 2025-$1.25+$0.67

NMAX has returned to profit: it earned $0.10 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over NMAX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NMAX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $52MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$69M+52%
Q2 2026$54.1M+17%
Q1 2026$51.7M+14%
Q4 2025$52.2M+9.6%
Q3 2025$45.3M+4%
Q2 2025$46.4M+18%
Q1 2025$45.3M+12%
Q4 2024$47.7M+26%

NMAX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2024: $69M last quarter, up 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over NMAX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NMAX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: −$24MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: −$24MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.6M+$78.8M
Q2 2026-$1.3M+$22.6M
Q1 2026-$2.9M+$12.9M
Q4 2025$1.8M+$29.8M
Q3 2025-$69.2M-$55.2M
Q2 2025-$23.8M-$19.6M
Q1 2025-$15.8M-$12.4M
Q4 2024-$28M-2550%

NMAX's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $7M over the past year.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over NMAX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NMAX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 128MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 128MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-60.2K shares
1 year+0.6%+745K shares
3 years+57%+47.1M shares

NMAX has 129M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NMAX Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -2.1x
Q3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash

NMAX has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NMAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic5.5Oversold

NMAX's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

NMAX PE vs Communication Services Sector

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NMAX has stronger trend alignment. NFLX is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus NMAX above 0 of 3.

NMAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.7617% below
20 week MA$9.2321% below
50 week MA$8.049.3% below

NMAX is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 9.3% below its 50-week average.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

NMAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$45.0$8.67-81%
2026 YTD$8.67$7.29-16%

NMAX has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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