NFG

National Fuel Gas Company

62
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

NFG's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 20 points to 40% and revenue grew 15%. At 11x earnings, it's trading below its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

NFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

NFG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE50x101x151x202x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE50x101x151x202x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$71.28-6.6%
Current11x$76.35—
Forward11x$76.35—
Fair13x$94.09+23%
Expensive40x$291+281%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFG's PE is in its cheap range at 10.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.6x.

NFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NFG's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

NFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$86.35
Downside-16%$64.37

Calculated from the latest close: $76.35 on Nov 12.

NFG's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +13% against −16%.

NFG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.17Q4 2023: $4.77Q1 2024: $5.04Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $-0.11Q1 2025: $0.46Q2 2025: $2.69Q3 2025: $5.68Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $7.39Q2 2026: $7.20Forward: $7.23
Q3 2023: $5.17Q4 2023: $4.77Q1 2024: $5.04Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $-0.11Q1 2025: $0.46Q2 2025: $2.69Q3 2025: $5.68Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $7.39Q2 2026: $7.20Forward: $7.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.23+0.4%
Q2 2026$7.20+168%
Q1 2026$7.39+1507%
Q4 2025$7.17+$7.28
Q3 2025$5.68+576%
Q2 2025$2.69-22%
Q1 2025$0.46-91%
Q4 2024-$0.11-102%
Q3 2024$0.84-84%

NFG earned $7.20 per share over the past year, up 168% from the year before.

NFG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $369MQ4 2023: $525MQ1 2024: $630MQ2 2024: $417MQ3 2024: $372MQ4 2024: $549MQ1 2025: $730MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $466MQ4 2025: $652MQ1 2026: $858MQ2 2026: $537M
Q3 2023: $369MQ4 2023: $525MQ1 2024: $630MQ2 2024: $417MQ3 2024: $372MQ4 2024: $549MQ1 2025: $730MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $466MQ4 2025: $652MQ1 2026: $858MQ2 2026: $537M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$537.5M+1.1%
Q1 2026$858.4M+18%
Q4 2025$651.5M+19%
Q3 2025$466.3M+25%
Q2 2025$531.8M+27%
Q1 2025$730M+16%
Q4 2024$549.5M+4.6%
Q3 2024$372.1M+0.8%

NFG's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $537M last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$100MQ4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: −$49MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: −$48MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $111M
Q3 2023: −$100MQ4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: −$49MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: −$48MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $111M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$111M-43%
Q1 2026$161.7M+170%
Q4 2025-$2.7M+$17.6M
Q3 2025-$47.8M+$1.3M
Q2 2025$195.4M+146%
Q1 2025$59.9M-25%
Q4 2024-$20.3M-185%
Q3 2024-$49.1M+$51.1M

NFG generated $222M in free cash flow over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

NFG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 92MQ4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 96M
Q3 2023: 92MQ4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 91MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 96M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+44.5K shares
1 year+5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.7%+3.4M shares
5 years+4.3%+4M shares
Available history+10%+9M shares

NFG has 96M diluted shares, up 5% from a year ago.

NFG Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.3xQ4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6x
Q3 2023: 2.3xQ4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh
Q3 20244.1xHigh

NFG's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

NFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic24.4Neutral

NFG's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

NFG PE vs Energy Sector

MetricNFGSector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %226139 pts below

NFG is trading at 11x earnings, a 19% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

NFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.02.1% below
20 week MA$80.14.6% below
50 week MA$82.87.8% below
100 week MA$81.26% below
200 week MA$68.012% above

NFG has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 12% above its 200-week average.

NFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.9$42.1-10%
2021$42.1$63.1+50%
2022$63.1$65.2+3.3%
2023$65.2$50.2-23%
2024$50.2$60.4+20%
2025$60.4$80.9+34%
2026 YTD$80.9$76.4-5.7%

NFG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 5.7% so far in 2026.

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