NFE

New Fortress Energy Inc.

42
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential56/ 100

NFE has a slight edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NFE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

NFE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NFE PE Valuation

NFE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 0.1x next year's earnings.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NFE to return to profit, with revenue growing.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

NFE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+128%$8.37
Downside-56%$1.62

Calculated from the latest close: $3.67 on Nov 12.

NFE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR trails NFE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NFE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $95.50Q4 2023: $132.50Q1 2024: $110.00Q2 2024: $59.00Q3 2024: $45.50Q4 2024: $-62.50Q1 2025: $-112.00Q2 2025: $-191.00Q3 2025: $-246.00Q4 2025: $-342.50Q1 2026: $-376.00Q2 2026: $-340.00Forward: $36.52
Q3 2023: $95.50Q4 2023: $132.50Q1 2024: $110.00Q2 2024: $59.00Q3 2024: $45.50Q4 2024: $-62.50Q1 2025: $-112.00Q2 2025: $-191.00Q3 2025: $-246.00Q4 2025: $-342.50Q1 2026: $-376.00Q2 2026: $-340.00Forward: $36.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$36.52โ€”
Q2 2026-$340.00-$149.00
Q1 2026-$376.00-$264.00
Q4 2025-$342.50-$280.00
Q3 2025-$246.00-641%
Q2 2025-$191.00-424%
Q1 2025-$112.00-202%
Q4 2024-$62.50-147%
Q3 2024$45.50-52%

NFE lost $340.00 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR has the edge over NFE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NFE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $514MQ4 2023: $758MQ1 2024: $690MQ2 2024: $428MQ3 2024: $568MQ4 2024: $679MQ1 2025: $471MQ2 2025: $302MQ3 2025: $327MQ4 2025: $396MQ1 2026: $227MQ2 2026: $313M
Q3 2023: $514MQ4 2023: $758MQ1 2024: $690MQ2 2024: $428MQ3 2024: $568MQ4 2024: $679MQ1 2025: $471MQ2 2025: $302MQ3 2025: $327MQ4 2025: $396MQ1 2026: $227MQ2 2026: $313M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$312.5M+3.6%
Q1 2026$227M-52%
Q4 2025$395.7M-42%
Q3 2025$327.4M-42%
Q2 2025$301.7M-30%
Q1 2025$470.5M-32%
Q4 2024$679M-10%
Q3 2024$567.5M+10%

NFE's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $313M last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR has the edge over NFE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NFE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$693MQ4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$613MQ2 2024: โˆ’$570MQ3 2024: โˆ’$452MQ4 2024: โˆ’$399MQ1 2025: โˆ’$372MQ2 2025: โˆ’$665MQ3 2025: โˆ’$297MQ4 2025: โˆ’$135MQ1 2026: โˆ’$162MQ2 2026: โˆ’$200M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$693MQ4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$613MQ2 2024: โˆ’$570MQ3 2024: โˆ’$452MQ4 2024: โˆ’$399MQ1 2025: โˆ’$372MQ2 2025: โˆ’$665MQ3 2025: โˆ’$297MQ4 2025: โˆ’$135MQ1 2026: โˆ’$162MQ2 2026: โˆ’$200M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$199.6M+$465.2M
Q1 2026-$162.5M+$209.7M
Q4 2025-$134.8M+$264.6M
Q3 2025-$296.7M+$155M
Q2 2025-$664.8M-$94.8M
Q1 2025-$372.2M+$241.2M
Q4 2024-$399.4M+$151.2M
Q3 2024-$451.7M+$241M

NFE has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 35% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

NFE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4MQ4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q3 2023: 4MQ4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-1.9K shares
1 year+4.1%+225K shares
3 years+36%+1.5M shares
5 years+62%+2.2M shares
Available history+1159%+5.3M shares

NFE has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

NFE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.9xQ4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 8.4xQ3 2024: 9.8xQ4 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 17.1xQ2 2025: 89.6x
Q3 2023: 5.9xQ4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 8.4xQ3 2024: 9.8xQ4 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 17.1xQ2 2025: 89.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202589.6xHigh
Q1 202517.1xHigh
Q4 202412.0xHigh
Q3 20249.8xHigh
Q2 20248.4xHigh
Q1 20246.6xHigh
Q4 20235.9xHigh
Q3 20235.9xHigh

NFE's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 8.4 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NFE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.8Oversold
Stochastic7.8Oversold

NFE's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

NFE PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricNFESector medianRelative
PEN/A20xโ€”

NFE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.8124% below
20 week MA$11.568% below
50 week MA$32.689% below
100 week MA$163.098% below
200 week MA$746.1100% below

NFE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 100% below its 200-week average.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

NFE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$804.5$2,850.0+254%
2021$2,850.0$1,262.5-56%
2022$1,262.5$2,145.0+70%
2023$2,145.0$1,886.5-12%
2024$1,886.5$722.5-62%
2025$722.5$58.5-92%
2026 YTD$58.5$3.67-94%

NFE has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 94% so far in 2026.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR has the edge over NFE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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