NEXA

Nexa Resources S.A.

71
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

NEXA's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 23% and its operating margin rose 8 points to 20%. At 5.5x earnings, it's trading below its usual 6.7x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

NEXA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

NEXA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NEXA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.6x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.6x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3x$11.43—
Cheap4.9x$10.33-9.6%
Current5.5x$11.43—
Fair6.7x$14.01+23%
Expensive9.1x$19.10+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NEXA's PE is in its cheap range at 5.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 3.0x next year's earnings.

NEXA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NEXA, with profitability improving.

NEXA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$17.86
Downside-20%$9.19

Calculated from the latest close: $11.43 on Nov 12.

NEXA's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +56% against −20%.

NEXA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.06Q4 2023: $-2.16Q1 2024: $-2.22Q2 2024: $-2.03Q3 2024: $-1.51Q4 2024: $-1.54Q1 2025: $-1.27Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $1.00Q1 2026: $1.58Q2 2026: $2.09Forward: $3.79
Q3 2023: $-2.06Q4 2023: $-2.16Q1 2024: $-2.22Q2 2024: $-2.03Q3 2024: $-1.51Q4 2024: $-1.54Q1 2025: $-1.27Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $1.00Q1 2026: $1.58Q2 2026: $2.09Forward: $3.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.79+81%
Q2 2026$2.09+$2.77
Q1 2026$1.58+$2.85
Q4 2025$1.00+$2.54
Q3 2025-$0.12+$1.39
Q2 2025-$0.68+$1.35
Q1 2025-$1.27+$0.95
Q4 2024-$1.54+$0.62
Q3 2024-$1.51+$0.55

NEXA has returned to profit: it earned $2.09 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NEXA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $649MQ4 2023: $630MQ1 2024: $582MQ2 2024: $736MQ3 2024: $709MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $627MQ2 2025: $708MQ3 2025: $752MQ4 2025: $896MQ1 2026: $888MQ2 2026: $900M
Q3 2023: $649MQ4 2023: $630MQ1 2024: $582MQ2 2024: $736MQ3 2024: $709MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $627MQ2 2025: $708MQ3 2025: $752MQ4 2025: $896MQ1 2026: $888MQ2 2026: $900M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$899.7M+27%
Q1 2026$888.3M+42%
Q4 2025$896M+21%
Q3 2025$751.6M+5.9%
Q2 2025$708.4M-3.8%
Q1 2025$627.1M+7.7%
Q4 2024$740.9M+18%
Q3 2024$709.5M+9.3%

NEXA's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $900M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

NEXA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $16MQ4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: −$234MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $169MQ1 2026: −$127MQ2 2026: $34M
Q3 2023: $16MQ4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: −$234MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $169MQ1 2026: −$127MQ2 2026: $34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$34.3M+171%
Q1 2026-$127.3M+$106.7M
Q4 2025$169.4M-3.2%
Q3 2025$96.9M+21%
Q2 2025$12.7M-14%
Q1 2025-$234M-$69.1M
Q4 2024$175M+1603%
Q3 2024$80M+403%

NEXA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $173M over the past year.

NEXA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 132MQ4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 132MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 132MQ2 2026: 132M
Q3 2023: 132MQ4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 132MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 132MQ2 2026: 132M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years0%--
Available history0%--

NEXA has 132M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NEXA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.7xQ4 2023: 6.7xQ1 2024: 8.3xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 5.7xQ4 2023: 6.7xQ1 2024: 8.3xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate
Q3 20242.9xModerate

NEXA's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

NEXA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

NEXA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

NEXA PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricNEXASector medianRelative
PE5.5x19x71% below
PE %294011 pts below

NEXA is trading at 5.5x earnings, a 71% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

NEXA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.04.5% below
20 week MA$12.912% below
50 week MA$12.47.8% below
100 week MA$9.0027% above
200 week MA$7.7947% above

NEXA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 47% above its 200-week average.

NEXA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.26$8.52+3.1%
2021$8.52$8.22-3.5%
2022$8.22$5.90-28%
2023$5.90$7.14+21%
2024$7.14$8.75+23%
2025$8.75$9.40+7.4%
2026 YTD$9.40$11.4+22%

NEXA has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 22% so far in 2026.

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