NET

Cloudflare, Inc.

62
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

NET's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SHOP

Shopify Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHOP has the edge over NET overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

NET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Strong
Unavailable

NET's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SHOP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NET PE Valuation

NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHOP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward67x$147—
Cheap78x$129-12%
Current89x$147—
Fair107x$177+21%
Expensive338x$557+280%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.

NET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

NET has the edge over SHOP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SHOP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$489.89
Downside-32%$215.91

Calculated from the latest close: $318.50 on Nov 12.

NET trails SHOP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SHOP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$237.14
Downside-23%$113.00

Calculated from the latest close: $146.78 on Nov 12.

SHOP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NET, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.26Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.58Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.75
Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.26Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.58Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.75—
Q3 2026-$0.68-$0.37
Q2 2026-$0.58-$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.25-$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.29-$0.06
Q3 2025-$0.31-$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.35-$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.24+$0.29
Q4 2024-$0.23+$0.32

NET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in mid-2022.

SHOP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+33%
Q3 2026$1.65+21%
Q2 2026$1.49-17%
Q1 2026$1.02-18%
Q4 2025$0.94-40%
Q3 2025$1.36+27%
Q2 2025$1.80+84%
Q1 2025$1.24+$1.41
Q4 2024$1.56+1633%

SHOP has the edge over NET on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $401MQ3 2024: $430MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $512MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $640MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $783M
Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $401MQ3 2024: $430MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $512MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $640MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $783M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$782.5M+39%
Q2 2026$696.1M+36%
Q1 2026$639.8M+34%
Q4 2025$614.5M+34%
Q3 2025$562M+31%
Q2 2025$512.3M+28%
Q1 2025$479.1M+27%
Q4 2024$459.9M+27%

NET has the edge over SHOP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SHOP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+32%
Q2 2026$3.6B+34%
Q1 2026$3.2B+34%
Q4 2025$3.7B+31%
Q3 2025$2.8B+32%
Q2 2025$2.7B+31%
Q1 2025$2.4B+27%
Q4 2024$2.8B+31%

SHOP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.7B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

NET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $94M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$93.6M+13%
Q2 2026$67.6M+69%
Q1 2026$93.1M+55%
Q4 2025$105.2M+94%
Q3 2025$82.5M+51%
Q2 2025$39.9M-12%
Q1 2025$59.9M+44%
Q4 2024$54.2M-0.9%

NET generated $359M in free cash flow over the past year, up 52% from the year before.

SHOP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$816M+61%
Q2 2026$654M+55%
Q1 2026$476M+31%
Q4 2025$715M+17%
Q3 2025$507M+20%
Q2 2025$422M+27%
Q1 2025$363M+56%
Q4 2024$611M+37%

SHOP generated $2.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

NET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 339MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 342MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 346MQ2 2025: 347MQ3 2025: 349MQ4 2025: 348MQ1 2026: 353MQ2 2026: 354MQ3 2026: 357M
Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 339MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 342MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 346MQ2 2025: 347MQ3 2025: 349MQ4 2025: 348MQ1 2026: 353MQ2 2026: 354MQ3 2026: 357M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+2.8M shares
1 year+2.2%+7.8M shares
3 years+6.7%+22.5M shares
5 years+14%+42.6M shares
Available history+144%+211M shares

NET has 357M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

SHOP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-7.2M shares
1 year-1.7%-22.1M shares
3 years-0.4%-5.1M shares
5 years+1.1%+14.5M shares
Available history+11%+130M shares

SHOP has the edge over NET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NET Net Leverage

NET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SHOP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

SHOP has more cash than debt.

NET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic37.6Neutral

NET's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

SHOP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic51.5Neutral

SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

NET PE vs Technology Sector

NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHOP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSHOPSector medianRelative
PE89x28x219% above
PE %29356 pts below

SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$318.60% below
20 week MA$299.86.2% above
50 week MA$241.032% above
100 week MA$204.955% above
200 week MA$139.8128% above

NET's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 128% above its 200-week average.

SHOP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.06.5% below
20 week MA$143.12.5% above
50 week MA$134.49.2% above
100 week MA$128.115% above
200 week MA$97.750% above

SHOP's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 50% above its 200-week average.

NET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$85.0+409%
2021$85.0$137.3+62%
2022$137.3$43.8-68%
2023$43.8$83.3+90%
2024$83.3$110.6+33%
2025$110.6$202.4+83%
2026 YTD$202.4$318.5+57%

NET has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SHOP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$122.6+200%
2021$122.6$143.9+17%
2022$143.9$33.7-77%
2023$33.7$77.9+131%
2024$77.9$108.2+39%
2025$108.2$170.8+58%
2026 YTD$170.8$146.8-14%

SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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