NET

Cloudflare, Inc.

62
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

NET has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Strong
Unavailable

NET's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NET PE Valuation

NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NET, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$489.89
Downside-32%$215.91

Calculated from the latest close: $318.50 on Nov 12.

NET has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails NET on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.26Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.58Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.75
Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.26Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.58Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.75—
Q3 2026-$0.68-$0.37
Q2 2026-$0.58-$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.25-$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.29-$0.06
Q3 2025-$0.31-$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.35-$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.24+$0.29
Q4 2024-$0.23+$0.32

NET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in mid-2022.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over NET on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $401MQ3 2024: $430MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $512MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $640MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $783M
Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $401MQ3 2024: $430MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $512MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $640MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $783M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$782.5M+39%
Q2 2026$696.1M+36%
Q1 2026$639.8M+34%
Q4 2025$614.5M+34%
Q3 2025$562M+31%
Q2 2025$512.3M+28%
Q1 2025$479.1M+27%
Q4 2024$459.9M+27%

NET has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

NET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $94M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$93.6M+13%
Q2 2026$67.6M+69%
Q1 2026$93.1M+55%
Q4 2025$105.2M+94%
Q3 2025$82.5M+51%
Q2 2025$39.9M-12%
Q1 2025$59.9M+44%
Q4 2024$54.2M-0.9%

NET has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

NET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 339MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 342MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 346MQ2 2025: 347MQ3 2025: 349MQ4 2025: 348MQ1 2026: 353MQ2 2026: 354MQ3 2026: 357M
Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 339MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 342MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 346MQ2 2025: 347MQ3 2025: 349MQ4 2025: 348MQ1 2026: 353MQ2 2026: 354MQ3 2026: 357M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+2.8M shares
1 year+2.2%+7.8M shares
3 years+6.7%+22.5M shares
5 years+14%+42.6M shares
Available history+144%+211M shares

NET has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

NET Net Leverage

NET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic37.6Neutral

NET's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

NET PE vs Technology Sector

NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$318.60% below
20 week MA$299.86.2% above
50 week MA$241.032% above
100 week MA$204.955% above
200 week MA$139.8128% above

NET has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

NET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$85.0+409%
2021$85.0$137.3+62%
2022$137.3$43.8-68%
2023$43.8$83.3+90%
2024$83.3$110.6+33%
2025$110.6$202.4+83%
2026 YTD$202.4$318.5+57%

NET has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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