NEGG
Newegg Commerce, Inc.
NEGG has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NEGG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
NEGG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NEGG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 19x | $8.65 | — |
| Cheap | 61x | $27.55 | +218% |
| Fair | 105x | $47.21 | +446% |
| Expensive | 220x | $98.94 | +1044% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NEGG's PE is in its cheap range at 19x.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NEGG Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for NEGG to show an outlook.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NEGG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.45 | +$1.61 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.23 | +$1.92 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.25 | +$1.97 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.71 | +$1.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.16 | +$1.68 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.69 | +$1.28 |
| Q1 2024 | -$2.97 | +$0.37 |
| Q1 2023 | -$3.34 | -584% |
NEGG has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
NEGG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $320.4M | -8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $306.2M | -12% |
| Q4 2025 | $374.4M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $374.4M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $348.5M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $347.2M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $308.7M | -32% |
| Q3 2024 | $308.7M | -2.8% |
NEGG's revenue is growing: $320M last quarter, down 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.4% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3% | +3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.2% | +3.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | -3.5% | +2.4 points |
NEGG has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over NEGG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
NEGG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $24.9M | +$80.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$46.3M | -1188% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.8M | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.8M | -64% |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.5M | -$23.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3M | +$36.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $30M | -40% |
| Q3 2024 | $30M | +70% |
NEGG has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
NEGG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +940 shares |
| 1 year | +7.6% | +1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | -1.4% | -303K shares |
| Available history | +16% | +2.8M shares |
NEGG has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $551,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $551,000 |
NEGG spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 100% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NEGG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -18.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2021 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2021 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
NEGG has more cash than debt.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NEGG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 4.6 | Oversold |
NEGG's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
NEGG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NEGG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 7.5% above |
| PE % | 0 | 47 | 47 pts below |
NEGG is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NEGG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.6 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.4 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $29.3 | 71% below |
| 100 week MA | $29.7 | 71% below |
| 200 week MA | $24.9 | 65% below |
NEGG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
NEGG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.0 | $94.2 | +47% |
| 2021 | $94.2 | $219.6 | +133% |
| 2022 | $219.6 | $26.4 | -88% |
| 2023 | $26.4 | $25.2 | -4.5% |
| 2024 | $25.2 | $8.89 | -65% |
| 2025 | $8.89 | $53.0 | +496% |
| 2026 YTD | $53.0 | $8.65 | -84% |
NEGG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +496% in 2025 to −88% in 2022. It's down 84% so far in 2026.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over NEGG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.