NEGG
Newegg Commerce, Inc.
NEGG has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NEGG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
NEGG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NEGG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 19x | $8.65 | — |
| Cheap | 61x | $27.55 | +218% |
| Fair | 105x | $47.21 | +446% |
| Expensive | 220x | $98.94 | +1044% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NEGG's PE is in its cheap range at 19x.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NEGG Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for NEGG to show an outlook.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
NEGG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.45 | +$1.61 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.23 | +$1.92 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.25 | +$1.97 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.71 | +$1.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.16 | +$1.68 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.69 | +$1.28 |
| Q1 2024 | -$2.97 | +$0.37 |
| Q1 2023 | -$3.34 | -584% |
NEGG has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
NEGG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $320.4M | -8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $306.2M | -12% |
| Q4 2025 | $374.4M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $374.4M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $348.5M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $347.2M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $308.7M | -32% |
| Q3 2024 | $308.7M | -2.8% |
NEGG's revenue is growing: $320M last quarter, down 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.4% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3% | +3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.2% | +3.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | -3.5% | +2.4 points |
NEGG has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over NEGG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NEGG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $24.9M | +$80.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$46.3M | -1188% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.8M | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.8M | -64% |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.5M | -$23.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3M | +$36.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $30M | -40% |
| Q3 2024 | $30M | +70% |
NEGG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $122,598 over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over NEGG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NEGG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +940 shares |
| 1 year | +7.6% | +1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | -1.4% | -303K shares |
| Available history | +16% | +2.8M shares |
NEGG has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $551,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $551,000 |
NEGG spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 100% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NEGG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -18.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2021 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2021 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
NEGG has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NEGG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 4.6 | Oversold |
NEGG's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
NEGG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NEGG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 7.5% above |
| PE % | 0 | 47 | 47 pts below |
NEGG is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NEGG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.6 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.4 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $29.3 | 71% below |
| 100 week MA | $29.7 | 71% below |
| 200 week MA | $24.9 | 65% below |
NEGG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
NEGG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.0 | $94.2 | +47% |
| 2021 | $94.2 | $219.6 | +133% |
| 2022 | $219.6 | $26.4 | -88% |
| 2023 | $26.4 | $25.2 | -4.5% |
| 2024 | $25.2 | $8.89 | -65% |
| 2025 | $8.89 | $53.0 | +496% |
| 2026 YTD | $53.0 | $8.65 | -84% |
NEGG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +496% in 2025 to −88% in 2022. It's down 84% so far in 2026.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO has the edge over NEGG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.