NECB

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc.

52
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

NECB's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 9.6x earnings, above its usual 7.5x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

NECB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NECB's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NECB.

NECB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.1x$18.52-36%
Fair7.5x$22.77-22%
Forward7.6x$29.07—
Current9.6x$29.07—
Expensive13x$39.16+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NECB's PE is in its expensive range at 9.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.6x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NECB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NECB, with profitability improving.

NECB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$34.57
Downside-16%$24.40

Calculated from the latest close: $29.07 on Nov 12.

NECB's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +19% against −16%.

NECB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.32Q1 2024: $3.41Q2 2024: $3.63Q3 2024: $3.78Q4 2024: $3.52Q1 2025: $3.44Q2 2025: $3.29Q3 2025: $3.21Q4 2025: $3.25Q1 2026: $3.21Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.03Forward: $3.83
Q4 2023: $3.32Q1 2024: $3.41Q2 2024: $3.63Q3 2024: $3.78Q4 2024: $3.52Q1 2025: $3.44Q2 2025: $3.29Q3 2025: $3.21Q4 2025: $3.25Q1 2026: $3.21Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.03Forward: $3.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.83+26%
Q3 2026$3.03-5.6%
Q2 2026$3.11-5.5%
Q1 2026$3.21-6.7%
Q4 2025$3.25-7.7%
Q3 2025$3.21-15%
Q2 2025$3.29-9.4%
Q1 2025$3.44+0.9%
Q4 2024$3.52+6%

NECB earned $3.03 per share over the past year, down 5.6% from the year before.

NECB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.1M-3.2%
Q2 2026$25.3M-2.5%
Q1 2026$24.9M-2.2%
Q4 2025$26.4M+3.9%
Q3 2025$27M-2.5%
Q2 2025$25.9M-3.8%
Q1 2025$25.5M-0.2%
Q4 2024$25.4M-4.3%

NECB's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $26M last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NECB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11M-19%
Q2 2026$12.7M-15%
Q1 2026$10.3M-2.1%
Q4 2025$11.8M+17%
Q3 2025$13.6M-4.5%
Q2 2025$14.9M+35%
Q1 2025$10.6M-18%
Q4 2024$10.1M-14%

NECB's free cash flow was $46M over the past year, down 6.8% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NECB.

NECB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+28K shares
1 year-0.5%-66K shares
3 years-8.5%-1.3M shares
5 years-17%-2.8M shares

NECB has 14M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NECB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.0xNet Cash

NECB's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NECB.

NECB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.8Neutral
Stochastic76.8Neutral

NECB's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

NECB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNECBSector medianRelative
PE9.6x13x26% below
PE %69636 pts above

NECB is trading at 9.6x earnings, a 26% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NECB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.94.4% above
20 week MA$27.26.8% above
50 week MA$25.315% above
100 week MA$23.922% above
200 week MA$20.840% above

NECB is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

NECB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.80$10.3+17%
2021$10.3$11.2+8.8%
2022$11.2$15.0+35%
2023$15.0$17.7+18%
2024$17.7$24.8+40%
2025$24.8$23.0-7.3%
2026 YTD$23.0$29.1+27%

NECB has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 27% so far in 2026.

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