NDLS

Noodles & Company

54
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

NDLS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over NDLS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

NDLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

NDLS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

NDLS PE Valuation

NDLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

NDLS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NDLS to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NDLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$28.57
Downside-52%$6.62

Calculated from the latest close: $13.75 on Nov 12.

NDLS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails NDLS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NDLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-1.68Q2 2024: $-2.24Q3 2024: $-4.40Q4 2024: $-5.76Q4 2024: $-6.40Q2 2025: $-6.88Q3 2025: $-7.52Q3 2025: $-7.92Q4 2025: $-7.36Q1 2026: $-6.34Q2 2026: $-3.97
Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-1.68Q2 2024: $-2.24Q3 2024: $-4.40Q4 2024: $-5.76Q4 2024: $-6.40Q2 2025: $-6.88Q3 2025: $-7.52Q3 2025: $-7.92Q4 2025: $-7.36Q1 2026: $-6.34Q2 2026: $-3.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$3.97+$3.55
Q1 2026-$6.34+$0.54
Q4 2025-$7.36-$0.96
Q3 2025-$7.92-$2.16
Q2 2025-$7.52-$3.12
Q1 2025-$6.88-$4.64
Q4 2024-$6.40-$4.72
Q3 2024-$5.76-$5.28

NDLS lost $3.97 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over NDLS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NDLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $128MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $127MQ4 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $122MQ2 2025: $124MQ3 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $122MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $127M
Q4 2023: $128MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $127MQ4 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $122MQ2 2025: $124MQ3 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $122MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $127M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$127M+0.5%
Q1 2026$123.8M0%
Q4 2025$122.8M+0.8%
Q3 2025$122.1M-0.5%
Q2 2025$126.4M-0.7%
Q1 2025$123.8M+2%
Q4 2024$121.8M-2%
Q3 2024$122.8M-4%

NDLS has the edge over NKE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NDLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$14MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$14MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.8M+$6M
Q1 2026$3.9M+253%
Q4 2025-$3.4M+$10.4M
Q3 2025$1.4M+$2.8M
Q2 2025-$4.3M+$205K
Q1 2025$1.1M+$2.8M
Q4 2024-$13.8M+$1.4M
Q3 2024-$1.3M-132%

NDLS has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

NDLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+65.9K shares
1 year+2.7%+157K shares
3 years+2.3%+132K shares
5 years+2.5%+147K shares
Available history+5.6%+315K shares

NDLS has 6M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over NDLS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NDLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 7.8xQ4 2024: 18.9xQ4 2024: 77.3xQ2 2026: 8.7x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 7.8xQ4 2024: 18.9xQ4 2024: 77.3xQ2 2026: 8.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20268.7xHigh
Q4 202477.3xHigh
Q3 202418.9xHigh
Q2 20247.8xHigh
Q1 20243.8xElevated
Q4 20233.6xElevated
Q3 20232.3xModerate
Q2 20232.4xModerate

NDLS's net debt is about 8.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.8 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over NDLS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NDLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic38.4Neutral

NDLS's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

NDLS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNDLSSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

NDLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NDLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.61% above
20 week MA$14.44.6% below
50 week MA$10.926% above
100 week MA$9.0153% above
200 week MA$15.411% below

NDLS has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

NDLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.4$63.3+43%
2021$63.3$75.8+20%
2022$75.8$41.3-46%
2023$41.3$25.2-39%
2024$25.2$4.89-81%
2025$4.89$5.66+16%
2026 YTD$5.66$13.8+143%

NDLS has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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