NCNO

nCino, Inc.

70
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

NCNO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over NCNO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NCNO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

NCNO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NCNO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x384x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x384x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$22.36—
Cheap72x$21.56-3.6%
Current75x$22.36—
Fair133x$40.02+79%
Expensive333x$99.88+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NCNO's PE is 75x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over NCNO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NCNO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NCNO has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

NCNO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$32.59
Downside-30%$15.64

Calculated from the latest close: $22.36 on Nov 12.

NCNO trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NCNO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NCNO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-0.31Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.28Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $0.05Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.51
Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-0.31Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.28Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $0.05Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.51+405%
Q3 2026$0.30+$0.58
Q2 2026$0.12+$0.37
Q1 2026$0.05+$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.17$0.00
Q3 2025-$0.28-$0.01
Q2 2025-$0.25+$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.33+$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.17+$0.41

NCNO has returned to profit: it earned $0.30 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over NCNO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NCNO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $139MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $159MQ3 2026: $161M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $139MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $159MQ3 2026: $161M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$161M+8.2%
Q2 2026$159.4M+11%
Q1 2026$149.7M+5.9%
Q4 2025$152.2M+9.6%
Q3 2025$148.8M+12%
Q2 2025$144.1M+13%
Q1 2025$141.4M+14%
Q4 2024$138.8M+14%

NCNO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $161M last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over NCNO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NCNO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $34M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$34M+170%
Q2 2026$80.8M+54%
Q1 2026$12.5M+$22.8M
Q4 2025$4.9M-3.9%
Q3 2025$12.6M+176%
Q2 2025$52.6M-2.8%
Q1 2025-$10.4M-234%
Q4 2024$5.1M-2.9%

NCNO generated $132M in free cash flow over the past year, up 121% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over NCNO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NCNO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 109MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 109MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.7%-4.1M shares
1 year-8.6%-9.9M shares
3 years-6.3%-7M shares
5 years+10%+9.7M shares
Available history+18%+15.7M shares

NCNO has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

NCNO Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -19.5xQ2 2024: -7.5xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.0xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q1 2024: -19.5xQ2 2024: -7.5xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.0xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 2024-5.0xNet Cash

NCNO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over NCNO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NCNO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.1Neutral
Stochastic77.0Neutral

NCNO's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

NCNO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNCNOSector medianRelative
PE75x28x168% above
PE %193718 pts below

NCNO is trading at 75x earnings, a 168% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over NCNO on valuation relative to its sector.

NCNO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.25.7% above
20 week MA$20.310% above
50 week MA$19.415% above
100 week MA$23.86.2% below
200 week MA$27.218% below

NCNO has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

NCNO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.0$78.7+6.3%
2021$78.7$57.0-28%
2022$57.0$25.9-55%
2023$25.9$33.6+30%
2024$33.6$34.4+2.4%
2025$34.4$26.3-24%
2026 YTD$26.3$22.4-15%

NCNO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over NCNO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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