NCI

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score NCI yet.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

NCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
Unavailable
Strong

NCI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$4.21-18%
Current7.9x$5.12—
Fair13x$8.38+64%
Expensive107x$69.87+1265%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NCI's PE is 7.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NCI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NCI to show an outlook.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $5.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NCI and RIVN's risk to reward.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NCI and RIVN's risk to reward.

NCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2021: $12.33Q1 2022: $23.93Q2 2022: $35.52Q3 2022: $31.80Q4 2022: $28.08Q4 2023: $10.19Q4 2024: $16.71Q4 2025: $0.65
Q4 2021: $12.33Q1 2022: $23.93Q2 2022: $35.52Q3 2022: $31.80Q4 2022: $28.08Q4 2023: $10.19Q4 2024: $16.71Q4 2025: $0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.65-96%
Q4 2024$16.71+64%
Q4 2023$10.19-64%
Q4 2022$28.08+128%

NCI has the edge over RIVN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

NCI Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2021: $5MQ2 2021: $5MQ3 2021: $11MQ4 2021: $11MQ1 2022: $12MQ2 2022: $12MQ3 2022: $10MQ4 2022: $10MQ4 2023: $22MQ4 2024: $30MQ4 2025: $17M
Q1 2021: $5MQ2 2021: $5MQ3 2021: $11MQ4 2021: $11MQ1 2022: $12MQ2 2022: $12MQ3 2022: $10MQ4 2022: $10MQ4 2023: $22MQ4 2024: $30MQ4 2025: $17M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$17.5M-42%
Q4 2024$30M+35%
Q4 2023$22.2M+125%
Q4 2022$9.9M-7.4%
Q3 2022$9.9M-7.4%
Q2 2022$12.2M+164%
Q1 2022$12.2M+164%

NCI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 77% for NCI versus up 38% for RIVN.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

NCI Free Cash Flow

Q1 2021: $36,323Q2 2021: $36,323Q3 2021: $612,805Q4 2021: $612,805Q1 2022: $2MQ2 2022: $2MQ3 2022: −$5MQ4 2022: −$5MQ4 2023: −$6MQ4 2024: −$473,299Q4 2025: $2M
Q1 2021: $36,323Q2 2021: $36,323Q3 2021: $612,805Q4 2021: $612,805Q1 2022: $2MQ2 2022: $2MQ3 2022: −$5MQ4 2022: −$5MQ4 2023: −$6MQ4 2024: −$473,299Q4 2025: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$2.2M+$2.7M
Q4 2024-$473.3K+$6M
Q4 2023-$6.4M-$1.6M
Q4 2022-$4.8M-883%
Q3 2022-$4.8M-883%
Q2 2022$2.1M+5597%
Q1 2022$2.1M+5597%

RIVN has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 2.1% versus its history, compared with NCI at down 156%.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

NCI Total Shares

Q1 2021: 56,250Q2 2021: 56,250Q3 2021: 56,250Q4 2021: 56,250Q1 2022: 56,250Q2 2022: 56,250Q3 2022: 56,250Q4 2022: 56,250Q4 2023: 56,250Q4 2024: 61,262Q4 2025: 63,500
Q1 2021: 56,250Q2 2021: 56,250Q3 2021: 56,250Q4 2021: 56,250Q1 2022: 56,250Q2 2022: 56,250Q3 2022: 56,250Q4 2022: 56,250Q4 2023: 56,250Q4 2024: 61,262Q4 2025: 63,500
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.7%+2.2K shares
1 year+13%+7.3K shares

NCI has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

NCI Net Leverage

Q4 2021: 5.8xQ2 2022: 1.4xQ4 2022: 4.0xQ4 2023: 2.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.4x
Q4 2021: 5.8xQ2 2022: 1.4xQ4 2022: 4.0xQ4 2023: 2.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20241.3xHealthy
Q4 20232.7xModerate
Q4 20224.0xElevated
Q2 20221.4xHealthy
Q4 20215.8xHigh

NCI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic1.9Oversold

NCI's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

NCI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNCISector medianRelative
PE7.9x18x56% below
PE %342410 pts above

NCI is trading at 7.8x earnings, a 56% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.774% below
20 week MA$67.892% below
50 week MA$117.596% below
100 week MA$125.396% below

RIVN has stronger trend alignment. NCI is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus RIVN above 0 of 5.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

NCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$601.6$167.0-72%
2025$167.0$78.1-53%
2026 YTD$78.1$5.12-93%

NCI has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 93% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over NCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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