NCI

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score NCI yet.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 18x earnings, below its usual 33x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

NCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
Unavailable
Strong

NCI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

NCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$4.21-18%
Current7.9x$5.12—
Fair13x$8.38+64%
Expensive107x$69.87+1265%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NCI's PE is 7.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over NCI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NCI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NCI to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $5.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NCI and NKE's risk to reward.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NCI and NKE's risk to reward.

NCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2021: $12.33Q1 2022: $23.93Q2 2022: $35.52Q3 2022: $31.80Q4 2022: $28.08Q4 2023: $10.19Q4 2024: $16.71Q4 2025: $0.65
Q4 2021: $12.33Q1 2022: $23.93Q2 2022: $35.52Q3 2022: $31.80Q4 2022: $28.08Q4 2023: $10.19Q4 2024: $16.71Q4 2025: $0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.65-96%
Q4 2024$16.71+64%
Q4 2023$10.19-64%
Q4 2022$28.08+128%

NCI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.65 over the past year, against $35.52 in mid-2022.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over NCI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NCI Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2021: $5MQ2 2021: $5MQ3 2021: $11MQ4 2021: $11MQ1 2022: $12MQ2 2022: $12MQ3 2022: $10MQ4 2022: $10MQ4 2023: $22MQ4 2024: $30MQ4 2025: $17M
Q1 2021: $5MQ2 2021: $5MQ3 2021: $11MQ4 2021: $11MQ1 2022: $12MQ2 2022: $12MQ3 2022: $10MQ4 2022: $10MQ4 2023: $22MQ4 2024: $30MQ4 2025: $17M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$17.5M-42%
Q4 2024$30M+35%
Q4 2023$22.2M+125%
Q4 2022$9.9M-7.4%
Q3 2022$9.9M-7.4%
Q2 2022$12.2M+164%
Q1 2022$12.2M+164%

NCI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 77% for NCI versus down 4.3% for NKE.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NCI Free Cash Flow

Q1 2021: $36,323Q2 2021: $36,323Q3 2021: $612,805Q4 2021: $612,805Q1 2022: $2MQ2 2022: $2MQ3 2022: −$5MQ4 2022: −$5MQ4 2023: −$6MQ4 2024: −$473,299Q4 2025: $2M
Q1 2021: $36,323Q2 2021: $36,323Q3 2021: $612,805Q4 2021: $612,805Q1 2022: $2MQ2 2022: $2MQ3 2022: −$5MQ4 2022: −$5MQ4 2023: −$6MQ4 2024: −$473,299Q4 2025: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$2.2M+$2.7M
Q4 2024-$473.3K+$6M
Q4 2023-$6.4M-$1.6M
Q4 2022-$4.8M-883%
Q3 2022-$4.8M-883%
Q2 2022$2.1M+5597%
Q1 2022$2.1M+5597%

NKE has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 52% versus its history, compared with NCI at down 156%.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

NCI Total Shares

Q1 2021: 56,250Q2 2021: 56,250Q3 2021: 56,250Q4 2021: 56,250Q1 2022: 56,250Q2 2022: 56,250Q3 2022: 56,250Q4 2022: 56,250Q4 2023: 56,250Q4 2024: 61,262Q4 2025: 63,500
Q1 2021: 56,250Q2 2021: 56,250Q3 2021: 56,250Q4 2021: 56,250Q1 2022: 56,250Q2 2022: 56,250Q3 2022: 56,250Q4 2022: 56,250Q4 2023: 56,250Q4 2024: 61,262Q4 2025: 63,500
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.7%+2.2K shares
1 year+13%+7.3K shares

NCI has 63,500 diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over NCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NCI Net Leverage

Q4 2021: 5.8xQ2 2022: 1.4xQ4 2022: 4.0xQ4 2023: 2.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.4x
Q4 2021: 5.8xQ2 2022: 1.4xQ4 2022: 4.0xQ4 2023: 2.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20241.3xHealthy
Q4 20232.7xModerate
Q4 20224.0xElevated
Q2 20221.4xHealthy
Q4 20215.8xHigh

NCI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic1.9Oversold

NCI's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

NCI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNCISector medianRelative
PE7.9x18x56% below
PE %342410 pts above

NCI has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.774% below
20 week MA$67.892% below
50 week MA$117.596% below
100 week MA$125.396% below

NKE has stronger trend alignment. NCI is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus NKE above 1 of 5.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

NCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$601.6$167.0-72%
2025$167.0$78.1-53%
2026 YTD$78.1$5.12-93%

NCI has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 93% so far in 2026.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over NCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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