NBIS

Nebius Group N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score NBIS yet.

SIRI

Sirius XM Holdings Inc.

57
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

SIRI's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 18% of its revenue into free cash flow, but earnings per share fell 45%. At 13x earnings, it's trading below its usual 18x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

NBIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

NBIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

SIRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

SIRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NBIS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap68x$22.45-83%
Fair114x$37.67-71%
Current390x$129—
Expensive666x$220+71%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBIS's PE is 390x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SIRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE83x166x249x332x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE83x166x249x332x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$25.48-20%
Forward10x$31.74—
Current13x$31.74—
Fair17x$42.45+34%
Expensive34x$83.36+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SIRI has the edge over NBIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

NBIS has the edge over SIRI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

SIRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SIRI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NBIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $128.64 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NBIS and SIRI's risk to reward.

SIRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$39.65
Downside-26%$23.48

Calculated from the latest close: $31.74 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NBIS and SIRI's risk to reward.

NBIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.33+$2.61
Q4 2024-$2.28-456%
Q4 2023$0.64-36%
Q4 2022$1.00+$1.49
Q4 2021-$0.49-156%
Q4 2020$0.87+89%
Q4 2019$0.46-73%
Q4 2018$1.71+434%

NBIS has the edge over SIRI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

SIRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.20Q1 2024: $3.30Q2 2024: $3.30Q3 2024: $-6.34Q4 2024: $-4.79Q1 2025: $-4.90Q2 2025: $-5.13Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.36Q2 2026: $2.49Q3 2026: $2.43Forward: $3.13
Q4 2023: $3.20Q1 2024: $3.30Q2 2024: $3.30Q3 2024: $-6.34Q4 2024: $-4.79Q1 2025: $-4.90Q2 2025: $-5.13Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.36Q2 2026: $2.49Q3 2026: $2.43Forward: $3.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.13+29%
Q3 2026$2.43-45%
Q2 2026$2.49+$7.62
Q1 2026$2.36+$7.26
Q4 2025$2.23+$7.02
Q3 2025$4.45+$10.79
Q2 2025-$5.13-255%
Q1 2025-$4.90-248%
Q4 2024-$4.79-250%

SIRI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.43 over the past year, against $4.45 in late 2025.

NBIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2023$9.7B+53%
Q4 2022$6.3B+46%
Q4 2021$4.3B+63%
Q4 2020$2.6B+24%
Q4 2019$2.1B+37%
Q4 2018$1.5B+36%
Q4 2017$1.1B+24%
Q4 2016$917M+27%

NBIS's revenue is growing: $530M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.

SIRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B-0.3%
Q2 2026$2.2B+1%
Q1 2026$2.1B+1.1%
Q4 2025$2.2B+0.2%
Q3 2025$2.2B-0.6%
Q2 2025$2.1B-1.8%
Q1 2025$2.1B-4.3%
Q4 2024$2.2B-4.4%

SIRI has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

NBIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$3.7B-$3.1B
Q4 2024-$562.1M-$316.2M
Q4 2023-$245.9M-$138.9M
Q4 2022-$107M+$319.7M
Q4 2021-$426.7M-539%
Q4 2020$97.3M-66%
Q4 2019$287.9M+$289.2M
Q4 2018-$1.3M-101%

NBIS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$4.6B over the past year, against −$43M the year before.

SIRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $514MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $401MQ3 2025: $255MQ4 2025: $536MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $592MQ3 2026: $291M
Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $514MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $401MQ3 2025: $255MQ4 2025: $536MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $592MQ3 2026: $291M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$291M+14%
Q2 2026$592M+48%
Q1 2026$166M+213%
Q4 2025$536M+4.3%
Q3 2025$255M+963%
Q2 2025$401M+18%
Q1 2025$53M-60%
Q4 2024$514M+17%

SIRI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.6B over the past year, up 30% from the year before.

NBIS Total Shares

Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-12%-33.3M shares
1 year-32%-115M shares
3 years-26%-86.9M shares

NBIS has the edge over SIRI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SIRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 389MQ1 2024: 387MQ2 2024: 386MQ3 2024: 339MQ4 2024: 338MQ1 2025: 357MQ2 2025: 357MQ3 2025: 356MQ4 2025: 357MQ1 2026: 338MQ2 2026: 342MQ3 2026: 363M
Q4 2023: 389MQ1 2024: 387MQ2 2024: 386MQ3 2024: 339MQ4 2024: 338MQ1 2025: 357MQ2 2025: 357MQ3 2025: 356MQ4 2025: 357MQ1 2026: 338MQ2 2026: 342MQ3 2026: 363M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+6.1%+21M shares
1 year+2%+7M shares
3 years-6.1%-23.5M shares
5 years-12%-48.9M shares
Available history-21%-98.6M shares

SIRI has 363M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

NBIS Net Leverage

Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20230.7xVery low
Q4 2022-0.7xNet Cash

NBIS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SIRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.1xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.1xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20264.9xHigh
Q4 20255.1xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20243.7xElevated
Q1 20243.8xElevated
Q4 20233.8xElevated

SIRI's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.6 years a year ago.

NBIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

NBIS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SIRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic70.1Neutral

SIRI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNBISSector medianRelative
PE390x16x2,264% above
PE %622438 pts above

NBIS is trading at 390x earnings, a 2264% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

SIRI PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricSIRISector medianRelative
PE13x16x21% below
PE %33267 pts above

SIRI has the edge over NBIS on valuation relative to its sector.

NBIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$179.728% below
20 week MA$199.936% below
50 week MA$163.521% below
100 week MA$110.017% above

SIRI has stronger trend alignment. NBIS is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus SIRI above 5 of 5.

SIRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.212% above
20 week MA$28.99.9% above
50 week MA$25.823% above
100 week MA$24.231% above
200 week MA$31.70.1% above

SIRI has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 0.1% above its 200-week average.

NBIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$19.6$27.3+40%
2025$27.3$87.6+221%
2026 YTD$87.6$128.6+47%

NBIS has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's up 47% so far in 2026.

SIRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$71.4$63.1-12%
2021$63.1$64.3+1.9%
2022$64.3$58.4-9.2%
2023$58.4$54.7-6.3%
2024$54.7$23.1-58%
2025$23.1$20.6-11%
2026 YTD$20.6$31.7+54%

SIRI has the edge over NBIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key