NATL
NCR Atleos Corporation
NATL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
PLTR has the edge over NATL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
NATL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
NATL's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
PLTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
NATL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.8x | $48.24 | — |
| Current | 14x | $48.24 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $62.59 | +30% |
| Fair | 20x | $68.98 | +43% |
| Expensive | 22x | $76.66 | +59% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NATL has the edge over PLTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PLTR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 75x | $172 | — |
| Current | 120x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 165x | $236 | +37% |
| Fair | 251x | $359 | +109% |
| Expensive | 452x | $646 | +277% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.
NATL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NATL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
PLTR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
PLTR has the edge over NATL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
NATL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.91 | +40% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.51 | +104% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.58 | +52% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.32 | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.26 | +97% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.72 | +$3.46 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.70 | +$4.58 |
NATL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.51 over the past year, up 104% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2024.
PLTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.30 | +61% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.43 | +240% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.17 | +290% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.89 | +287% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.63 | +232% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.42 | +110% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.30 | +76% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.23 | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.19 | +111% |
PLTR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.43 over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2021.
NATL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +4% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $980M | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +0.9% |
NATL's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.1B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +6.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.8% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.8% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +10 points |
NATL's operating margin was 17% last quarter, up 6.8 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2022.
PLTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3B | +96% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +85% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +63% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +48% |
| Q1 2025 | $883.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $827.5M | +36% |
PLTR has the edge over NATL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 47% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +26 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +40 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +18 points |
| Q2 2025 | 27% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +7.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -9.5 points |
PLTR has the edge over NATL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NATL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $147M | +$152M |
| Q2 2026 | $4M | +$48M |
| Q1 2026 | -$36M | -138% |
| Q4 2025 | $194M | +213% |
| Q3 2025 | -$5M | -106% |
| Q2 2025 | -$44M | -$30M |
| Q1 2025 | $94M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $62M | +$92M |
NATL generated $309M in free cash flow over the past year, up 189% from the year before.
PLTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +139% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $891.8M | +193% |
| Q4 2025 | $764M | +67% |
| Q3 2025 | $500.9M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $531.6M | +276% |
| Q1 2025 | $304.1M | +140% |
| Q4 2024 | $457.2M | +54% |
PLTR has the edge over NATL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NATL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | +7.8% | +5.5M shares |
NATL has 76M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $16M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
PLTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +5.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +248M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +610M shares |
| Available history | +184% | +1.7B shares |
PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $19.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $19.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $18.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $18M |
| Q4 2024 | $18.6M |
| Q3 2024 | $18.9M |
| Q2 2024 | $17.7M |
| Q1 2024 | $9M |
NATL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
NATL's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.
PLTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
PLTR has the edge over NATL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NATL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.7 | Neutral |
NATL's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).
PLTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.4 | Neutral |
PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
NATL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NATL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 28x | 51% below |
| PE % | 1 | 18 | 17 pts below |
NATL has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.
PLTR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PLTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 120x | 28x | 331% above |
| PE % | 1 | 38 | 37 pts below |
PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
NATL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $46.5 | 3.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $46.4 | 4% above |
| 50 week MA | $43.9 | 9.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $37.9 | 27% above |
NATL has stronger trend alignment. NATL is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus PLTR above 4 of 5.
PLTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $185.8 | 7.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $167.6 | 2.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $157.1 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $143.8 | 19% above |
| 200 week MA | $83.3 | 106% above |
PLTR's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 106% above its 200-week average.
NATL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $22.4 | $24.3 | +8.5% |
| 2024 | $24.3 | $34.3 | +41% |
| 2025 | $34.3 | $39.0 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.0 | $48.2 | +24% |
NATL has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PLTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.20 | $27.8 | +202% |
| 2021 | $27.8 | $18.9 | -32% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $6.29 | -67% |
| 2023 | $6.29 | $17.2 | +173% |
| 2024 | $17.2 | $79.1 | +361% |
| 2025 | $79.1 | $188.7 | +139% |
| 2026 YTD | $188.7 | $171.6 | -9.1% |
PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.