NAGE

Niagen Bioscience Inc

41
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

NAGE trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over NAGE overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

NAGE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

NAGE's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

NAGE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE201x401x602x803x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE201x401x602x803x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$2.05-3.7%
Current18x$2.13—
Fair27x$3.30+55%
Expensive79x$9.47+345%
Forward217x$2.13—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NAGE has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NAGE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NAGE's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over NAGE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NAGE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$2.82
Downside-49%$1.08

Calculated from the latest close: $2.13 on Nov 12.

NAGE trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NAGE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NAGE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.18Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.25Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.01
Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.18Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.25Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.01-92%
Q3 2026$0.12-52%
Q2 2026$0.18-18%
Q1 2026$0.21+17%
Q4 2025$0.20+82%
Q3 2025$0.25+2400%
Q2 2025$0.22+$0.24
Q1 2025$0.18+$0.23
Q4 2024$0.11+$0.18

NAGE has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

NAGE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$27.2M-20%
Q2 2026$29.8M-4.3%
Q1 2026$31.5M+3.3%
Q4 2025$33.8M+16%
Q3 2025$34M+33%
Q2 2025$31.1M+37%
Q1 2025$30.5M+38%
Q4 2024$29.1M+37%

NAGE's revenue fell from its 2025 peak and has held roughly level since: $27M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NAGE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $649,000Q1 2024: $295,000Q2 2024: −$264,000Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $679,000Q1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $649,000Q1 2024: $295,000Q2 2024: −$264,000Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $679,000Q1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6M-29%
Q2 2026$2.8M+122%
Q1 2026-$1.2M-115%
Q4 2025$679K-92%
Q3 2025$3.7M+5.6%
Q2 2025$1.3M+$1.5M
Q1 2025$7.9M+2572%
Q4 2024$8.6M+1222%

NAGE still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $5M over the past year.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

NAGE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 79M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 79M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.1%-3.4M shares
1 year-8.6%-7.5M shares
3 years+5.5%+4.1M shares
5 years+16%+10.9M shares
Available history+28%+17.5M shares

NAGE has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

NAGE Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -25.0xQ4 2024: -5.2xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.2xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.8xQ2 2026: -5.8xQ3 2026: -11.9x
Q3 2024: -25.0xQ4 2024: -5.2xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -3.2xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.8xQ2 2026: -5.8xQ3 2026: -11.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-11.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.2xNet Cash

NAGE has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NAGE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.9Oversold
Stochastic3.5Oversold

NAGE's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

NAGE PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNAGESector medianRelative
PE18x26x31% below
PE %22297 pts below

NAGE has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NAGE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.5015% below
20 week MA$2.9327% below
50 week MA$4.1449% below
100 week MA$6.2366% below
200 week MA$4.3551% below

NAGE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over NAGE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NAGE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.47$4.99+12%
2021$4.99$4.13-17%
2022$4.13$1.50-64%
2023$1.50$1.43-4.7%
2024$1.43$5.52+286%
2025$5.52$6.64+20%
2026 YTD$6.64$2.13-68%

NAGE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +286% in 2024 to −64% in 2022. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over NAGE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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