MXL

MaxLinear, Inc.

71
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

MXL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over MXL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MXL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

MXL's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MXL PE Valuation

MXL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

MXL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

MXL has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MXL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $58.96 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MXL and NVDA's risk to reward.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MXL and NVDA's risk to reward.

MXL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.91Q1 2024: $-1.91Q2 2024: $-2.33Q3 2024: $-2.74Q4 2024: $-2.93Q1 2025: $-2.63Q2 2025: $-2.47Q3 2025: $-2.09Q4 2025: $-1.58Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-1.19Q3 2026: $-0.37Forward: $4.06
Q4 2023: $-0.91Q1 2024: $-1.91Q2 2024: $-2.33Q3 2024: $-2.74Q4 2024: $-2.93Q1 2025: $-2.63Q2 2025: $-2.47Q3 2025: $-2.09Q4 2025: $-1.58Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-1.19Q3 2026: $-0.37Forward: $4.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.06—
Q3 2026-$0.37+$1.72
Q2 2026-$1.19+$1.28
Q1 2026-$1.52+$1.11
Q4 2025-$1.58+$1.35
Q3 2025-$2.09+$0.65
Q2 2025-$2.47-$0.14
Q1 2025-$2.63-$0.72
Q4 2024-$2.93-$2.02

MXL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.37 per share over the past year, against $2.93 at its worst in late 2024.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over MXL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MXL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$218.1M+72%
Q2 2026$168.8M+55%
Q1 2026$137.2M+43%
Q4 2025$136.4M+48%
Q3 2025$126.5M+56%
Q2 2025$108.8M+18%
Q1 2025$95.9M+0.7%
Q4 2024$92.2M-26%

MXL's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $218M last quarter, up 72% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MXL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MXL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$18MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$20M
Q4 2023: −$18MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$19.5M-544%
Q2 2026$2.5M-73%
Q1 2026-$10.3M+$3.1M
Q4 2025$6.7M+$36.7M
Q3 2025$4.4M+$39.3M
Q2 2025$9.3M+$15M
Q1 2025-$13.4M-276%
Q4 2024-$30M-$12.2M

MXL's free cash flow was −$21M over the past year, against −$30M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MXL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MXL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 98M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 98M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+381K shares
1 year+12%+10.5M shares
3 years+20%+16.5M shares
5 years+22%+17.9M shares
Available history+38%+26.7M shares

MXL has 98M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over MXL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MXL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.0xQ3 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: -2.0xQ3 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q4 2023-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2023-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2022-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20220.2xVery low

MXL's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over MXL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MXL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.8Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

MXL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MXL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMXLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

MXL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MXL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.822% below
20 week MA$75.422% below
50 week MA$55.07.2% above
100 week MA$35.069% above
200 week MA$28.7106% above

MXL has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

MXL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.4$36.7+71%
2021$36.7$74.1+102%
2022$74.1$33.9-54%
2023$33.9$23.8-30%
2024$23.8$20.5-14%
2025$20.5$17.7-14%
2026 YTD$17.7$59.0+233%

MXL has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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